Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate a high of 75–79°F for Chicago on September 9, with widespread showers, high humidity, and west-to-northwest winds limiting afternoon warming. This follows an early-September heat wave that pushed daily maxima above 90°F but has since yielded to a cooler air mass. The implied probabilities cluster around 78–81°F because these brackets align with the forecast consensus and historical normals near 78.6°F, while the elevated rain chance reduces upside potential for readings above 82°F. Traders appear to weigh the latest model runs showing limited destabilization and no strong warm advection against the slight risk of breaks in cloud cover.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月9日芝加哥气温最高？
9月9日芝加哥气温最高？
80-81°F 44%
78-79°F 27%
82-83°F 13%
76-77华氏度 9%
最新
最新
2026-09-09
75°F或以下
4%
76-77华氏度
9%
78-79°F
27%
80-81°F
44%
82-83°F
13%
84-85°F
5%
86-87°F
2%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94°F或更高
<1%
80-81°F 44%
78-79°F 27%
82-83°F 13%
76-77华氏度 9%
最新
最新
2026-09-09
75°F或以下
$136 交易量
4%
76-77华氏度
$260 交易量
9%
78-79°F
$465 交易量
27%
80-81°F
$2,273 交易量
44%
82-83°F
$316 交易量
13%
84-85°F
$209 交易量
5%
86-87°F
$376 交易量
2%
88-89°F
$171 交易量
1%
90-91°F
$265 交易量
<1%
92-93°F
$410 交易量
<1%
94°F或更高
$198 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate a high of 75–79°F for Chicago on September 9, with widespread showers, high humidity, and west-to-northwest winds limiting afternoon warming. This follows an early-September heat wave that pushed daily maxima above 90°F but has since yielded to a cooler air mass. The implied probabilities cluster around 78–81°F because these brackets align with the forecast consensus and historical normals near 78.6°F, while the elevated rain chance reduces upside potential for readings above 82°F. Traders appear to weigh the latest model runs showing limited destabilization and no strong warm advection against the slight risk of breaks in cloud cover.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 7, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
交易量
$5,078结束日期
2026-09-09市场开放时间
Sep 7, 2026, 3:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate a high of 75–79°F for Chicago on September 9, with widespread showers, high humidity, and west-to-northwest winds limiting afternoon warming. This follows an early-September heat wave that pushed daily maxima above 90°F but has since yielded to a cooler air mass. The implied probabilities cluster around 78–81°F because these brackets align with the forecast consensus and historical normals near 78.6°F, while the elevated rain chance reduces upside potential for readings above 82°F. Traders appear to weigh the latest model runs showing limited destabilization and no strong warm advection against the slight risk of breaks in cloud cover.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$5,078结束日期
2026-09-09市场开放时间
Sep 7, 2026, 3:56 AM ETRecent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate a high of 75–79°F for Chicago on September 9, with widespread showers, high humidity, and west-to-northwest winds limiting afternoon warming. This follows an early-September heat wave that pushed daily maxima above 90°F but has since yielded to a cooler air mass. The implied probabilities cluster around 78–81°F because these brackets align with the forecast consensus and historical normals near 78.6°F, while the elevated rain chance reduces upside potential for readings above 82°F. Traders appear to weigh the latest model runs showing limited destabilization and no strong warm advection against the slight risk of breaks in cloud cover.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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