Forecast consensus from National Weather Service and private models positions a high of 96–99°F as the most likely outcome for Austin on September 10, driving the dominant 98–99°F market share. Light southerly flow under subtropical high pressure, combined with mostly sunny skies and minimal cloud cover, supports afternoon temperatures several degrees above the 92°F climatological average. Recent days of upper-90s readings have reinforced trader confidence in this range, while the low probability assigned to 100°F+ reflects limited model support for stronger heating or downslope effects. Updated guidance overnight could shift odds if dew points or wind patterns change.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月10日奥斯汀的最高温度？
9月10日奥斯汀的最高温度？
98-99°F 68%
96-97°F 20%
100-101°F 8%
94-95°F 5%
最新
$11,076 交易量
最新
$11,076 交易量
2026-09-10
89°F或以下
<1%
90-91华氏度
1%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
5%
96-97°F
20%
98-99°F
68%
100-101°F
8%
102-103华氏度
3%
104-105°F
1%
106-107°F
<1%
108°F或更高
<1%
98-99°F 68%
96-97°F 20%
100-101°F 8%
94-95°F 5%
最新
$11,076 交易量
最新
$11,076 交易量
2026-09-10
89°F或以下
$479 交易量
<1%
90-91华氏度
$309 交易量
1%
92-93°F
$67 交易量
1%
94-95°F
$248 交易量
5%
96-97°F
$4,526 交易量
20%
98-99°F
$2,520 交易量
68%
100-101°F
$1,722 交易量
8%
102-103华氏度
$434 交易量
3%
104-105°F
$182 交易量
1%
106-107°F
$295 交易量
<1%
108°F或更高
$295 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from National Weather Service and private models positions a high of 96–99°F as the most likely outcome for Austin on September 10, driving the dominant 98–99°F market share. Light southerly flow under subtropical high pressure, combined with mostly sunny skies and minimal cloud cover, supports afternoon temperatures several degrees above the 92°F climatological average. Recent days of upper-90s readings have reinforced trader confidence in this range, while the low probability assigned to 100°F+ reflects limited model support for stronger heating or downslope effects. Updated guidance overnight could shift odds if dew points or wind patterns change.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 8, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
交易量
$11,076结束日期
2026-09-10市场开放时间
Sep 8, 2026, 3:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from National Weather Service and private models positions a high of 96–99°F as the most likely outcome for Austin on September 10, driving the dominant 98–99°F market share. Light southerly flow under subtropical high pressure, combined with mostly sunny skies and minimal cloud cover, supports afternoon temperatures several degrees above the 92°F climatological average. Recent days of upper-90s readings have reinforced trader confidence in this range, while the low probability assigned to 100°F+ reflects limited model support for stronger heating or downslope effects. Updated guidance overnight could shift odds if dew points or wind patterns change.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$11,076结束日期
2026-09-10市场开放时间
Sep 8, 2026, 3:56 AM ETForecast consensus from National Weather Service and private models positions a high of 96–99°F as the most likely outcome for Austin on September 10, driving the dominant 98–99°F market share. Light southerly flow under subtropical high pressure, combined with mostly sunny skies and minimal cloud cover, supports afternoon temperatures several degrees above the 92°F climatological average. Recent days of upper-90s readings have reinforced trader confidence in this range, while the low probability assigned to 100°F+ reflects limited model support for stronger heating or downslope effects. Updated guidance overnight could shift odds if dew points or wind patterns change.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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