Forecast models from multiple sources indicate Warsaw's September 9 high will likely fall in the 28–30°C range, driven by southerly winds advecting warmer air masses under mostly clear skies and a building high-pressure ridge that minimizes cloud cover and supports strong daytime insolation. Low daytime precipitation odds further aid surface heating, while dew points near 15–16°C limit evaporative cooling. Minor model spread arises from subtle differences in timing of a northwest frontal approach that could trim the peak by a degree or two if it arrives earlier. Historical September averages for the city hover near 20°C, underscoring the anomalous warmth currently priced into the market. Updated runs from national meteorological agencies will refine the exact maximum ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月9日华沙最高气温?
30°C 31%
29°C 30%
31°C 20%
27°C 18%
25°C或以下
4%
26°C
4%
27°C
18%
28°C
11%
29°C
30%
30°C
31%
31°C
20%
32°C
17%
33°C
5%
34°C
2%
35°C或更高
2%
30°C 31%
29°C 30%
31°C 20%
27°C 18%
25°C或以下
4%
26°C
4%
27°C
18%
28°C
11%
29°C
30%
30°C
31%
31°C
20%
32°C
17%
33°C
5%
34°C
2%
35°C或更高
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 7, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models from multiple sources indicate Warsaw's September 9 high will likely fall in the 28–30°C range, driven by southerly winds advecting warmer air masses under mostly clear skies and a building high-pressure ridge that minimizes cloud cover and supports strong daytime insolation. Low daytime precipitation odds further aid surface heating, while dew points near 15–16°C limit evaporative cooling. Minor model spread arises from subtle differences in timing of a northwest frontal approach that could trim the peak by a degree or two if it arrives earlier. Historical September averages for the city hover near 20°C, underscoring the anomalous warmth currently priced into the market. Updated runs from national meteorological agencies will refine the exact maximum ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题