Recent forecasts from global models highlight persistent cloud cover, thunderstorms, and southwest monsoon flow suppressing daytime heating in Manila on September 9, keeping the maximum temperature most likely near 28–29°C. High humidity near 85–95% and frequent showers limit solar insolation, aligning with the market’s emphasis on these outcomes over higher values. Historical September averages near 31°C are tempered by current wet-season patterns, with model consensus showing little deviation expected before resolution. Traders weigh the narrow window for any brief clearing that could push readings to 30°C against the stronger signal for moderated highs typical of active rainy periods.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月9日马尼拉的最高温度?
29°C 38%
30°C 23%
28°C 22%
27°C 7%
23°C或以下
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
5%
27°C
7%
28°C
22%
29°C
38%
30°C
23%
31°C
6%
32°C
2%
33°C或更高
<1%
29°C 38%
30°C 23%
28°C 22%
27°C 7%
23°C或以下
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
5%
27°C
7%
28°C
22%
29°C
38%
30°C
23%
31°C
6%
32°C
2%
33°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 7, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from global models highlight persistent cloud cover, thunderstorms, and southwest monsoon flow suppressing daytime heating in Manila on September 9, keeping the maximum temperature most likely near 28–29°C. High humidity near 85–95% and frequent showers limit solar insolation, aligning with the market’s emphasis on these outcomes over higher values. Historical September averages near 31°C are tempered by current wet-season patterns, with model consensus showing little deviation expected before resolution. Traders weigh the narrow window for any brief clearing that could push readings to 30°C against the stronger signal for moderated highs typical of active rainy periods.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题