Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance point to an overnight low in the low-to-mid 70s for New York City on September 10, driven by a warm, humid southerly flow ahead of a weak frontal boundary and limited nocturnal radiative cooling under mostly cloudy skies. This aligns with the market’s heaviest weighting on 74-75 °F (44.5 %) and 72-73 °F (33 %), reflecting trader consensus that the minimum will fall within that narrow band rather than cooler historical September norms near 63 °F. Light showers or variable winds could nudge the exact reading slightly, but current runs show no strong cold-air advection to push values into the upper 60s before dawn. Updated model guidance and official NWS briefings through tonight remain the key near-term catalysts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月10日纽约市最低气温？
9月10日纽约市最低气温？
74-75°F 39%
72-73°F 37%
76-77°F 23%
68-69°F 9%
最新
最新
2026-09-10
67°F或更低
1%
68-69°F
9%
70-71°F
7%
72-73°F
37%
74-75°F
39%
76-77°F
23%
78-79°F
4%
80-81°F
2%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
1%
86°F或更高
1%
74-75°F 39%
72-73°F 37%
76-77°F 23%
68-69°F 9%
最新
最新
2026-09-10
67°F或更低
$0 交易量
1%
68-69°F
$0 交易量
9%
70-71°F
$133 交易量
7%
72-73°F
$626 交易量
37%
74-75°F
$715 交易量
39%
76-77°F
$122 交易量
23%
78-79°F
$0 交易量
4%
80-81°F
$0 交易量
2%
82-83°F
$5 交易量
1%
84-85°F
$5 交易量
1%
86°F或更高
$167 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance point to an overnight low in the low-to-mid 70s for New York City on September 10, driven by a warm, humid southerly flow ahead of a weak frontal boundary and limited nocturnal radiative cooling under mostly cloudy skies. This aligns with the market’s heaviest weighting on 74-75 °F (44.5 %) and 72-73 °F (33 %), reflecting trader consensus that the minimum will fall within that narrow band rather than cooler historical September norms near 63 °F. Light showers or variable winds could nudge the exact reading slightly, but current runs show no strong cold-air advection to push values into the upper 60s before dawn. Updated model guidance and official NWS briefings through tonight remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 8, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
交易量
$1,774结束日期
2026-09-10市场开放时间
Sep 8, 2026, 3:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance point to an overnight low in the low-to-mid 70s for New York City on September 10, driven by a warm, humid southerly flow ahead of a weak frontal boundary and limited nocturnal radiative cooling under mostly cloudy skies. This aligns with the market’s heaviest weighting on 74-75 °F (44.5 %) and 72-73 °F (33 %), reflecting trader consensus that the minimum will fall within that narrow band rather than cooler historical September norms near 63 °F. Light showers or variable winds could nudge the exact reading slightly, but current runs show no strong cold-air advection to push values into the upper 60s before dawn. Updated model guidance and official NWS briefings through tonight remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,774结束日期
2026-09-10市场开放时间
Sep 8, 2026, 3:29 AM ETRecent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance point to an overnight low in the low-to-mid 70s for New York City on September 10, driven by a warm, humid southerly flow ahead of a weak frontal boundary and limited nocturnal radiative cooling under mostly cloudy skies. This aligns with the market’s heaviest weighting on 74-75 °F (44.5 %) and 72-73 °F (33 %), reflecting trader consensus that the minimum will fall within that narrow band rather than cooler historical September norms near 63 °F. Light showers or variable winds could nudge the exact reading slightly, but current runs show no strong cold-air advection to push values into the upper 60s before dawn. Updated model guidance and official NWS briefings through tonight remain the key near-term catalysts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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