Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models position the overnight low in New York City near 70°F on September 9, 2026, driven by persistent warm, humid air with southwest winds limiting radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies. This aligns with the market's leading 70-71°F outcome at 53.5% implied probability, as recent days have featured highs in the mid-80s and minimal temperature drops overnight. Above-average conditions for early September reflect the absence of a strong cold front, with historical Central Park data showing typical lows closer to 64°F. Final resolution depends on the official minimum recorded at the Central Park station.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月9日纽约市最低气温？
9月9日纽约市最低气温？
70-71°F 66%
72-73°F 31%
68-69°F 12%
66-67°F 6%
最新
最新
2026-09-09
61°F或以下
<1%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
2%
66-67°F
6%
68-69°F
18%
70-71°F
55%
72-73°F
31%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80华氏度或以上
<1%
70-71°F 66%
72-73°F 31%
68-69°F 12%
66-67°F 6%
最新
最新
2026-09-09
61°F或以下
$396 交易量
<1%
62-63°F
$414 交易量
1%
64-65°F
$390 交易量
2%
66-67°F
$689 交易量
6%
68-69°F
$1,239 交易量
18%
70-71°F
$1,795 交易量
55%
72-73°F
$958 交易量
31%
74-75°F
$317 交易量
<1%
76-77°F
$281 交易量
<1%
78-79°F
$1,073 交易量
<1%
80华氏度或以上
$1,138 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models position the overnight low in New York City near 70°F on September 9, 2026, driven by persistent warm, humid air with southwest winds limiting radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies. This aligns with the market's leading 70-71°F outcome at 53.5% implied probability, as recent days have featured highs in the mid-80s and minimal temperature drops overnight. Above-average conditions for early September reflect the absence of a strong cold front, with historical Central Park data showing typical lows closer to 64°F. Final resolution depends on the official minimum recorded at the Central Park station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 7, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
交易量
$8,690结束日期
2026-09-09市场开放时间
Sep 7, 2026, 3:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models position the overnight low in New York City near 70°F on September 9, 2026, driven by persistent warm, humid air with southwest winds limiting radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies. This aligns with the market's leading 70-71°F outcome at 53.5% implied probability, as recent days have featured highs in the mid-80s and minimal temperature drops overnight. Above-average conditions for early September reflect the absence of a strong cold front, with historical Central Park data showing typical lows closer to 64°F. Final resolution depends on the official minimum recorded at the Central Park station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$8,690结束日期
2026-09-09市场开放时间
Sep 7, 2026, 3:29 AM ETOfficial forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models position the overnight low in New York City near 70°F on September 9, 2026, driven by persistent warm, humid air with southwest winds limiting radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies. This aligns with the market's leading 70-71°F outcome at 53.5% implied probability, as recent days have featured highs in the mid-80s and minimal temperature drops overnight. Above-average conditions for early September reflect the absence of a strong cold front, with historical Central Park data showing typical lows closer to 64°F. Final resolution depends on the official minimum recorded at the Central Park station.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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