**Forecast models for Manila on September 11 point to a daytime high near 29–31°C, driven by persistent southwest monsoon activity that brings widespread cloud cover, scattered showers, and thunderstorms.** These conditions limit solar heating and keep temperatures below the September climatological average of roughly 31–32°C. Recent PAGASA updates and short-range guidance from sources such as WeatherBug and AccuWeather show highs in the 28–30°C range amid high humidity and light winds, reducing the chance of brief clear spells that could push readings higher. Trader consensus reflected in the market—37.5% on 30°C and 25.5% on 31°C—aligns with this outlook, while lower probabilities on 32°C or above acknowledge the slim potential for reduced rainfall allowing stronger afternoon heating. Updated model runs and any shifts in monsoon strength over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could adjust these implied probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月11日马尼拉气温最高？
9月11日马尼拉气温最高？
30°C 33%
31°C 26%
29°C 15%
28°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-09-11
24°C或以下
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
6%
28°C
10%
29°C
15%
30°C
33%
31°C
26%
32°C
10%
33°C
5%
34°C或更高
5%
30°C 33%
31°C 26%
29°C 15%
28°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-09-11
24°C或以下
$205 交易量
<1%
25°C
$267 交易量
1%
26°C
$0 交易量
3%
27°C
$32 交易量
6%
28°C
$20 交易量
10%
29°C
$33 交易量
15%
30°C
$247 交易量
33%
31°C
$7 交易量
26%
32°C
$0 交易量
10%
33°C
$0 交易量
5%
34°C或更高
$35 交易量
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models for Manila on September 11 point to a daytime high near 29–31°C, driven by persistent southwest monsoon activity that brings widespread cloud cover, scattered showers, and thunderstorms.** These conditions limit solar heating and keep temperatures below the September climatological average of roughly 31–32°C. Recent PAGASA updates and short-range guidance from sources such as WeatherBug and AccuWeather show highs in the 28–30°C range amid high humidity and light winds, reducing the chance of brief clear spells that could push readings higher. Trader consensus reflected in the market—37.5% on 30°C and 25.5% on 31°C—aligns with this outlook, while lower probabilities on 32°C or above acknowledge the slim potential for reduced rainfall allowing stronger afternoon heating. Updated model runs and any shifts in monsoon strength over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could adjust these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 9, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
交易量
$845结束日期
2026-09-11市场开放时间
Sep 9, 2026, 12:59 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models for Manila on September 11 point to a daytime high near 29–31°C, driven by persistent southwest monsoon activity that brings widespread cloud cover, scattered showers, and thunderstorms.** These conditions limit solar heating and keep temperatures below the September climatological average of roughly 31–32°C. Recent PAGASA updates and short-range guidance from sources such as WeatherBug and AccuWeather show highs in the 28–30°C range amid high humidity and light winds, reducing the chance of brief clear spells that could push readings higher. Trader consensus reflected in the market—37.5% on 30°C and 25.5% on 31°C—aligns with this outlook, while lower probabilities on 32°C or above acknowledge the slim potential for reduced rainfall allowing stronger afternoon heating. Updated model runs and any shifts in monsoon strength over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could adjust these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$845结束日期
2026-09-11市场开放时间
Sep 9, 2026, 12:59 AM ET**Forecast models for Manila on September 11 point to a daytime high near 29–31°C, driven by persistent southwest monsoon activity that brings widespread cloud cover, scattered showers, and thunderstorms.** These conditions limit solar heating and keep temperatures below the September climatological average of roughly 31–32°C. Recent PAGASA updates and short-range guidance from sources such as WeatherBug and AccuWeather show highs in the 28–30°C range amid high humidity and light winds, reducing the chance of brief clear spells that could push readings higher. Trader consensus reflected in the market—37.5% on 30°C and 25.5% on 31°C—aligns with this outlook, while lower probabilities on 32°C or above acknowledge the slim potential for reduced rainfall allowing stronger afternoon heating. Updated model runs and any shifts in monsoon strength over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could adjust these implied probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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