A recent forecast shift has elevated expectations for San Francisco's September 9 high, with models now projecting a heat wave driven by a departing low-pressure system and lingering tropical moisture that weakens the typical onshore sea breeze and marine layer cooling. Light winds, clearing skies by midday, and subsidence under high pressure favor greater daytime heating, pushing downtown readings into the upper 80s or low 90s per National Weather Service and ensemble guidance. Trader consensus around 86–91°F reflects this consensus while acknowledging model spread on exact sea-breeze strength and afternoon cloud timing, with resolution hinging on official observations from downtown stations. Historical September maxima near 70–75°F underscore the anomaly.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月9日旧金山气温最高？
9月9日旧金山气温最高？
86-87°F 46%
88-89°F 45%
90-91华氏度 45%
84-85°F 27%
最新
最新
2026-09-09
77°F或以下
1%
78-79°F
7%
80-81°F
6%
82-83°F
9%
84-85°F
27%
86-87°F
46%
88-89°F
45%
90-91华氏度
45%
92-93°F
21%
94-95°F
19%
96华氏度或更高
17%
86-87°F 46%
88-89°F 45%
90-91华氏度 45%
84-85°F 27%
最新
最新
2026-09-09
77°F或以下
$0 交易量
1%
78-79°F
$0 交易量
7%
80-81°F
$0 交易量
6%
82-83°F
$0 交易量
9%
84-85°F
$0 交易量
27%
86-87°F
$0 交易量
46%
88-89°F
$0 交易量
45%
90-91华氏度
$0 交易量
45%
92-93°F
$0 交易量
21%
94-95°F
$26 交易量
19%
96华氏度或更高
$0 交易量
17%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A recent forecast shift has elevated expectations for San Francisco's September 9 high, with models now projecting a heat wave driven by a departing low-pressure system and lingering tropical moisture that weakens the typical onshore sea breeze and marine layer cooling. Light winds, clearing skies by midday, and subsidence under high pressure favor greater daytime heating, pushing downtown readings into the upper 80s or low 90s per National Weather Service and ensemble guidance. Trader consensus around 86–91°F reflects this consensus while acknowledging model spread on exact sea-breeze strength and afternoon cloud timing, with resolution hinging on official observations from downtown stations. Historical September maxima near 70–75°F underscore the anomaly.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 7, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
交易量
$26结束日期
2026-09-09市场开放时间
Sep 7, 2026, 7:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A recent forecast shift has elevated expectations for San Francisco's September 9 high, with models now projecting a heat wave driven by a departing low-pressure system and lingering tropical moisture that weakens the typical onshore sea breeze and marine layer cooling. Light winds, clearing skies by midday, and subsidence under high pressure favor greater daytime heating, pushing downtown readings into the upper 80s or low 90s per National Weather Service and ensemble guidance. Trader consensus around 86–91°F reflects this consensus while acknowledging model spread on exact sea-breeze strength and afternoon cloud timing, with resolution hinging on official observations from downtown stations. Historical September maxima near 70–75°F underscore the anomaly.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$26结束日期
2026-09-09市场开放时间
Sep 7, 2026, 7:56 AM ETA recent forecast shift has elevated expectations for San Francisco's September 9 high, with models now projecting a heat wave driven by a departing low-pressure system and lingering tropical moisture that weakens the typical onshore sea breeze and marine layer cooling. Light winds, clearing skies by midday, and subsidence under high pressure favor greater daytime heating, pushing downtown readings into the upper 80s or low 90s per National Weather Service and ensemble guidance. Trader consensus around 86–91°F reflects this consensus while acknowledging model spread on exact sea-breeze strength and afternoon cloud timing, with resolution hinging on official observations from downtown stations. Historical September maxima near 70–75°F underscore the anomaly.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题