Current National Weather Service and model guidance points to a highest temperature in San Francisco on September 8 likely falling in the upper 70s to low 80s, driven by persistent onshore flow and a moderating marine layer that limits inland heat advection. Ensemble spreads reflect typical late-summer variability in the Bay Area, where subtle shifts in wind direction or boundary-layer mixing can add or subtract several degrees from the daily maximum. Historical September highs average near 70°F, but recent drier patterns have supported modest warming relative to early-month conditions. Traders appear to price in this forecast range while acknowledging model divergence on exact peak timing and any late-day clearing. Updated NWS briefings and morning model runs will provide the next resolution-relevant data points.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月8日旧金山气温最高?
80-81华氏度 36%
82-83华氏度 35%
78-79华氏度 32%
84-85°F 25%
71°F或以下
1%
72-73°F
16%
74-75°F
16%
76-77°F
20%
78-79华氏度
32%
80-81华氏度
36%
82-83华氏度
35%
84-85°F
25%
86-87°F
10%
88-89°F
18%
90华氏度或更高
16%
80-81华氏度 36%
82-83华氏度 35%
78-79华氏度 32%
84-85°F 25%
71°F或以下
1%
72-73°F
16%
74-75°F
16%
76-77°F
20%
78-79华氏度
32%
80-81华氏度
36%
82-83华氏度
35%
84-85°F
25%
86-87°F
10%
88-89°F
18%
90华氏度或更高
16%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 6, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current National Weather Service and model guidance points to a highest temperature in San Francisco on September 8 likely falling in the upper 70s to low 80s, driven by persistent onshore flow and a moderating marine layer that limits inland heat advection. Ensemble spreads reflect typical late-summer variability in the Bay Area, where subtle shifts in wind direction or boundary-layer mixing can add or subtract several degrees from the daily maximum. Historical September highs average near 70°F, but recent drier patterns have supported modest warming relative to early-month conditions. Traders appear to price in this forecast range while acknowledging model divergence on exact peak timing and any late-day clearing. Updated NWS briefings and morning model runs will provide the next resolution-relevant data points.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题