Recent cold air advection from a polar front, combined with clear skies and radiative cooling under high pressure, drove the strong trader consensus around a 13°C minimum in São Paulo on September 8. Official monitoring from Inmet and the Centro de Gerenciamento de Emergências showed temperatures bottoming near that threshold after the sharper 10.1°C reading on September 7, consistent with seasonal September climatology and model consensus that the coldest air had already passed. Surface observations and ensemble forecasts aligned on limited overnight cooling once winds shifted and humidity rose slightly, producing the market-implied probability above 90%. Scenarios that could still alter resolution include post-analysis revisions from official stations or unaccounted microclimate effects at the primary measurement site.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月8日圣保罗最低温度？
9月8日圣保罗最低温度？
13°C 99.5%
9°C 3%
12°C 2.0%
7°C或以下 <1%
$2,052 交易量
$2,052 交易量
2026-09-08
7°C或以下
否
8°C
否
9°C
否
10°C
否
11°C
否
12°C
否
13°C
是
14°C
否
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C或以上
否
13°C 99.5%
9°C 3%
12°C 2.0%
7°C或以下 <1%
$2,052 交易量
$2,052 交易量
2026-09-08
7°C或以下
$187 交易量
否
8°C
$165 交易量
否
9°C
$30 交易量
否
10°C
$167 交易量
否
11°C
$148 交易量
否
12°C
$36 交易量
否
13°C
$399 交易量
是
14°C
$315 交易量
否
15°C
$254 交易量
否
16°C
$284 交易量
否
17°C或以上
$67 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent cold air advection from a polar front, combined with clear skies and radiative cooling under high pressure, drove the strong trader consensus around a 13°C minimum in São Paulo on September 8. Official monitoring from Inmet and the Centro de Gerenciamento de Emergências showed temperatures bottoming near that threshold after the sharper 10.1°C reading on September 7, consistent with seasonal September climatology and model consensus that the coldest air had already passed. Surface observations and ensemble forecasts aligned on limited overnight cooling once winds shifted and humidity rose slightly, producing the market-implied probability above 90%. Scenarios that could still alter resolution include post-analysis revisions from official stations or unaccounted microclimate effects at the primary measurement site.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 6, 2026, 8:28 AM ET
交易量
$2,052结束日期
2026-09-08市场开放时间
Sep 6, 2026, 8:28 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent cold air advection from a polar front, combined with clear skies and radiative cooling under high pressure, drove the strong trader consensus around a 13°C minimum in São Paulo on September 8. Official monitoring from Inmet and the Centro de Gerenciamento de Emergências showed temperatures bottoming near that threshold after the sharper 10.1°C reading on September 7, consistent with seasonal September climatology and model consensus that the coldest air had already passed. Surface observations and ensemble forecasts aligned on limited overnight cooling once winds shifted and humidity rose slightly, producing the market-implied probability above 90%. Scenarios that could still alter resolution include post-analysis revisions from official stations or unaccounted microclimate effects at the primary measurement site.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,052结束日期
2026-09-08市场开放时间
Sep 6, 2026, 8:28 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Recent cold air advection from a polar front, combined with clear skies and radiative cooling under high pressure, drove the strong trader consensus around a 13°C minimum in São Paulo on September 8. Official monitoring from Inmet and the Centro de Gerenciamento de Emergências showed temperatures bottoming near that threshold after the sharper 10.1°C reading on September 7, consistent with seasonal September climatology and model consensus that the coldest air had already passed. Surface observations and ensemble forecasts aligned on limited overnight cooling once winds shifted and humidity rose slightly, producing the market-implied probability above 90%. Scenarios that could still alter resolution include post-analysis revisions from official stations or unaccounted microclimate effects at the primary measurement site.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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