Recent observational data from São Paulo stations, including Congonhas Airport, indicate overnight lows near 12–13°C on September 16, 2026, under clear to overcast skies with light southeasterly winds and high humidity promoting efficient radiative cooling. Trader consensus clusters tightly around these thresholds because model guidance converged on minimal temperature variance, influenced by a stable high-pressure pattern suppressing stronger cold advection while urban heat effects and dew-point depressions near 11–12°C limited further drops. Key differentiators include precise station siting, measurement timing at minimum, and any microscale cloud cover variations that could shift the recorded extreme by 1°C. Official verification from agencies like INMET will resolve the market as new hourly data finalize.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月16日圣保罗最低温度？
9月16日圣保罗最低温度？
11°C 96%
13°C 90%
10°C 17%
12°C 9%
$4,083 交易量
$4,083 交易量
2026-09-16
9°C或以下
4%
10°C
17%
11°C
96%
12°C
9%
13°C
90%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C或更高
<1%
11°C 96%
13°C 90%
10°C 17%
12°C 9%
$4,083 交易量
$4,083 交易量
2026-09-16
9°C或以下
$0 交易量
4%
10°C
$107 交易量
17%
11°C
$20 交易量
96%
12°C
$22 交易量
9%
13°C
$6 交易量
90%
14°C
$1,888 交易量
<1%
15°C
$1,939 交易量
<1%
16°C
$25 交易量
<1%
17°C
$25 交易量
<1%
18°C
$25 交易量
<1%
19°C或更高
$25 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent observational data from São Paulo stations, including Congonhas Airport, indicate overnight lows near 12–13°C on September 16, 2026, under clear to overcast skies with light southeasterly winds and high humidity promoting efficient radiative cooling. Trader consensus clusters tightly around these thresholds because model guidance converged on minimal temperature variance, influenced by a stable high-pressure pattern suppressing stronger cold advection while urban heat effects and dew-point depressions near 11–12°C limited further drops. Key differentiators include precise station siting, measurement timing at minimum, and any microscale cloud cover variations that could shift the recorded extreme by 1°C. Official verification from agencies like INMET will resolve the market as new hourly data finalize.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 14, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
交易量
$4,083结束日期
2026-09-16市场开放时间
Sep 14, 2026, 8:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent observational data from São Paulo stations, including Congonhas Airport, indicate overnight lows near 12–13°C on September 16, 2026, under clear to overcast skies with light southeasterly winds and high humidity promoting efficient radiative cooling. Trader consensus clusters tightly around these thresholds because model guidance converged on minimal temperature variance, influenced by a stable high-pressure pattern suppressing stronger cold advection while urban heat effects and dew-point depressions near 11–12°C limited further drops. Key differentiators include precise station siting, measurement timing at minimum, and any microscale cloud cover variations that could shift the recorded extreme by 1°C. Official verification from agencies like INMET will resolve the market as new hourly data finalize.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$4,083结束日期
2026-09-16市场开放时间
Sep 14, 2026, 8:29 AM ETRecent observational data from São Paulo stations, including Congonhas Airport, indicate overnight lows near 12–13°C on September 16, 2026, under clear to overcast skies with light southeasterly winds and high humidity promoting efficient radiative cooling. Trader consensus clusters tightly around these thresholds because model guidance converged on minimal temperature variance, influenced by a stable high-pressure pattern suppressing stronger cold advection while urban heat effects and dew-point depressions near 11–12°C limited further drops. Key differentiators include precise station siting, measurement timing at minimum, and any microscale cloud cover variations that could shift the recorded extreme by 1°C. Official verification from agencies like INMET will resolve the market as new hourly data finalize.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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