Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Sao Paulo's overnight low on September 18 will likely settle near 13–16°C under persistent cloud cover and light southeast winds, aligning with the market's leading 15°C outcome at 46% implied probability. September 2026 has already featured unusually cool and record-wet conditions across the region, with temperatures running several degrees below the 12–15°C climatological September minimum average. This pattern favors moderate cooling overnight while limiting extreme drops, though lingering model spread around boundary-layer moisture and exact wind shifts keeps lower thresholds like 9°C or below at 34% and warmer 19°C+ scenarios at 32.5%. Updated National Meteorological Institute guidance and next model runs will refine resolution criteria for the daily minimum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月18日圣保罗最低温度？
9月18日圣保罗最低温度？
19°C或更高 84%
15°C 46%
9°C或以下 41%
11°C 40%
最新
最新
2026-09-18
9°C或以下
41%
10°C
14%
11°C
40%
12°C
34%
13°C
36%
14°C
33%
15°C
46%
16°C
32%
17°C
5%
18°C
5%
19°C或更高
84%
19°C或更高 84%
15°C 46%
9°C或以下 41%
11°C 40%
最新
最新
2026-09-18
9°C或以下
$0 交易量
41%
10°C
$0 交易量
14%
11°C
$0 交易量
40%
12°C
$0 交易量
34%
13°C
$0 交易量
36%
14°C
$0 交易量
33%
15°C
$57 交易量
46%
16°C
$0 交易量
32%
17°C
$0 交易量
5%
18°C
$0 交易量
5%
19°C或更高
$0 交易量
84%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Sao Paulo's overnight low on September 18 will likely settle near 13–16°C under persistent cloud cover and light southeast winds, aligning with the market's leading 15°C outcome at 46% implied probability. September 2026 has already featured unusually cool and record-wet conditions across the region, with temperatures running several degrees below the 12–15°C climatological September minimum average. This pattern favors moderate cooling overnight while limiting extreme drops, though lingering model spread around boundary-layer moisture and exact wind shifts keeps lower thresholds like 9°C or below at 34% and warmer 19°C+ scenarios at 32.5%. Updated National Meteorological Institute guidance and next model runs will refine resolution criteria for the daily minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 16, 2026, 8:28 AM ET
交易量
$57结束日期
2026-09-18市场开放时间
Sep 16, 2026, 8:28 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Sao Paulo's overnight low on September 18 will likely settle near 13–16°C under persistent cloud cover and light southeast winds, aligning with the market's leading 15°C outcome at 46% implied probability. September 2026 has already featured unusually cool and record-wet conditions across the region, with temperatures running several degrees below the 12–15°C climatological September minimum average. This pattern favors moderate cooling overnight while limiting extreme drops, though lingering model spread around boundary-layer moisture and exact wind shifts keeps lower thresholds like 9°C or below at 34% and warmer 19°C+ scenarios at 32.5%. Updated National Meteorological Institute guidance and next model runs will refine resolution criteria for the daily minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$57结束日期
2026-09-18市场开放时间
Sep 16, 2026, 8:28 AM ETRecent forecasts from multiple models indicate Sao Paulo's overnight low on September 18 will likely settle near 13–16°C under persistent cloud cover and light southeast winds, aligning with the market's leading 15°C outcome at 46% implied probability. September 2026 has already featured unusually cool and record-wet conditions across the region, with temperatures running several degrees below the 12–15°C climatological September minimum average. This pattern favors moderate cooling overnight while limiting extreme drops, though lingering model spread around boundary-layer moisture and exact wind shifts keeps lower thresholds like 9°C or below at 34% and warmer 19°C+ scenarios at 32.5%. Updated National Meteorological Institute guidance and next model runs will refine resolution criteria for the daily minimum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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