Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate a daily maximum near 29–30°C in Beijing on September 17, driven by southerly flow advecting warmer air ahead of a modest trough, with mostly cloudy skies expected to limit full insolation. This aligns closely with the market’s tight clustering around 29–31°C while exceeding the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 26°C. Model consensus shows limited spread, though variations in cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing could shift the peak by 1–2°C; any earlier clearing or stronger winds would favor the upper end of the range. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles will provide the next key data points before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月17日北京气温最高？
9月17日北京气温最高？
30°C 28%
31°C 26%
29℃ 19%
32°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-09-17
25°C或以下
2%
26°C
1%
27°C
5%
28°C
12%
29℃
19%
30°C
28%
31°C
26%
32°C
13%
33°C
11%
34°C
10%
35°C或以上
<1%
30°C 28%
31°C 26%
29℃ 19%
32°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-09-17
25°C或以下
$87 交易量
2%
26°C
$13 交易量
1%
27°C
$0 交易量
5%
28°C
$39 交易量
12%
29℃
$5 交易量
19%
30°C
$10 交易量
28%
31°C
$58 交易量
26%
32°C
$23 交易量
13%
33°C
$0 交易量
11%
34°C
$0 交易量
10%
35°C或以上
$0 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate a daily maximum near 29–30°C in Beijing on September 17, driven by southerly flow advecting warmer air ahead of a modest trough, with mostly cloudy skies expected to limit full insolation. This aligns closely with the market’s tight clustering around 29–31°C while exceeding the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 26°C. Model consensus shows limited spread, though variations in cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing could shift the peak by 1–2°C; any earlier clearing or stronger winds would favor the upper end of the range. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles will provide the next key data points before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 15, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$235结束日期
2026-09-17市场开放时间
Sep 15, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate a daily maximum near 29–30°C in Beijing on September 17, driven by southerly flow advecting warmer air ahead of a modest trough, with mostly cloudy skies expected to limit full insolation. This aligns closely with the market’s tight clustering around 29–31°C while exceeding the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 26°C. Model consensus shows limited spread, though variations in cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing could shift the peak by 1–2°C; any earlier clearing or stronger winds would favor the upper end of the range. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles will provide the next key data points before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$235结束日期
2026-09-17市场开放时间
Sep 15, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRecent forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate a daily maximum near 29–30°C in Beijing on September 17, driven by southerly flow advecting warmer air ahead of a modest trough, with mostly cloudy skies expected to limit full insolation. This aligns closely with the market’s tight clustering around 29–31°C while exceeding the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 26°C. Model consensus shows limited spread, though variations in cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing could shift the peak by 1–2°C; any earlier clearing or stronger winds would favor the upper end of the range. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles will provide the next key data points before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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