Recent high-pressure ridging over northern New Zealand and northerly winds are supporting mild conditions for Wellington on September 15, with official and model guidance centering on daytime maxima of 15–16°C, modestly above the mid-September climatological average near 13–14°C. Northerly flow advects warmer air masses while variable cloud cover and wind speeds near 15–30 km/h influence the precise peak; stronger mixing or increased cloud could cap readings at 15°C, whereas clearer skies favor 16°C. The tight market spread between these outcomes reflects genuine forecast uncertainty in short-range model consensus ahead of final MetService updates.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月15日惠灵顿的最高温度？
9月15日惠灵顿的最高温度？
16°C 49%
15°C 41%
17°C 8%
14°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-09-15
11°C或以下
1%
12°C
1%
13°C
2%
14°C
5%
15°C
41%
16°C
49%
17°C
8%
18°C
2%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C或更高
1%
16°C 49%
15°C 41%
17°C 8%
14°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-09-15
11°C或以下
$43 交易量
1%
12°C
$28 交易量
1%
13°C
$349 交易量
2%
14°C
$253 交易量
5%
15°C
$657 交易量
41%
16°C
$67 交易量
49%
17°C
$101 交易量
8%
18°C
$36 交易量
2%
19°C
$28 交易量
1%
20°C
$28 交易量
1%
21°C或更高
$28 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent high-pressure ridging over northern New Zealand and northerly winds are supporting mild conditions for Wellington on September 15, with official and model guidance centering on daytime maxima of 15–16°C, modestly above the mid-September climatological average near 13–14°C. Northerly flow advects warmer air masses while variable cloud cover and wind speeds near 15–30 km/h influence the precise peak; stronger mixing or increased cloud could cap readings at 15°C, whereas clearer skies favor 16°C. The tight market spread between these outcomes reflects genuine forecast uncertainty in short-range model consensus ahead of final MetService updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 13, 2026, 12:56 PM ET
交易量
$1,619结束日期
2026-09-15市场开放时间
Sep 13, 2026, 12:56 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent high-pressure ridging over northern New Zealand and northerly winds are supporting mild conditions for Wellington on September 15, with official and model guidance centering on daytime maxima of 15–16°C, modestly above the mid-September climatological average near 13–14°C. Northerly flow advects warmer air masses while variable cloud cover and wind speeds near 15–30 km/h influence the precise peak; stronger mixing or increased cloud could cap readings at 15°C, whereas clearer skies favor 16°C. The tight market spread between these outcomes reflects genuine forecast uncertainty in short-range model consensus ahead of final MetService updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,619结束日期
2026-09-15市场开放时间
Sep 13, 2026, 12:56 PM ETRecent high-pressure ridging over northern New Zealand and northerly winds are supporting mild conditions for Wellington on September 15, with official and model guidance centering on daytime maxima of 15–16°C, modestly above the mid-September climatological average near 13–14°C. Northerly flow advects warmer air masses while variable cloud cover and wind speeds near 15–30 km/h influence the precise peak; stronger mixing or increased cloud could cap readings at 15°C, whereas clearer skies favor 16°C. The tight market spread between these outcomes reflects genuine forecast uncertainty in short-range model consensus ahead of final MetService updates.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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