Recent official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models indicate a maximum temperature of 30–31°C for Tokyo on September 14, driven by partly cloudy skies, southwesterly winds around 7 m/s, and low precipitation chances under 10–20%. This setup follows a period of cloudier, wetter conditions earlier in the month, allowing greater daytime heating while remaining within typical late-summer variability rather than extreme heat. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around these values, with historical September maxima averaging near 27–28°C providing climatological context. Traders appear to weigh the consensus on 30°C most heavily, with 31°C as a close secondary outcome pending any final model adjustments before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月14日东京气温最高？
9月14日东京气温最高？
30°C 48%
31°C 34%
29°C 13%
32°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-09-14
25°C或以下
3%
26°C
3%
27°C
4%
28°C
5%
29°C
13%
30°C
48%
31°C
34%
32°C
7%
33°C
5%
34°C
4%
35°C或更高
4%
30°C 48%
31°C 34%
29°C 13%
32°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-09-14
25°C或以下
$0 交易量
3%
26°C
$0 交易量
3%
27°C
$0 交易量
4%
28°C
$0 交易量
5%
29°C
$25 交易量
13%
30°C
$19 交易量
48%
31°C
$374 交易量
34%
32°C
$5 交易量
7%
33°C
$0 交易量
5%
34°C
$0 交易量
4%
35°C或更高
$0 交易量
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models indicate a maximum temperature of 30–31°C for Tokyo on September 14, driven by partly cloudy skies, southwesterly winds around 7 m/s, and low precipitation chances under 10–20%. This setup follows a period of cloudier, wetter conditions earlier in the month, allowing greater daytime heating while remaining within typical late-summer variability rather than extreme heat. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around these values, with historical September maxima averaging near 27–28°C providing climatological context. Traders appear to weigh the consensus on 30°C most heavily, with 31°C as a close secondary outcome pending any final model adjustments before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$423结束日期
2026-09-14市场开放时间
Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models indicate a maximum temperature of 30–31°C for Tokyo on September 14, driven by partly cloudy skies, southwesterly winds around 7 m/s, and low precipitation chances under 10–20%. This setup follows a period of cloudier, wetter conditions earlier in the month, allowing greater daytime heating while remaining within typical late-summer variability rather than extreme heat. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around these values, with historical September maxima averaging near 27–28°C providing climatological context. Traders appear to weigh the consensus on 30°C most heavily, with 31°C as a close secondary outcome pending any final model adjustments before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$423结束日期
2026-09-14市场开放时间
Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models indicate a maximum temperature of 30–31°C for Tokyo on September 14, driven by partly cloudy skies, southwesterly winds around 7 m/s, and low precipitation chances under 10–20%. This setup follows a period of cloudier, wetter conditions earlier in the month, allowing greater daytime heating while remaining within typical late-summer variability rather than extreme heat. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around these values, with historical September maxima averaging near 27–28°C providing climatological context. Traders appear to weigh the consensus on 30°C most heavily, with 31°C as a close secondary outcome pending any final model adjustments before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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