Recent PAGASA advisories and global model runs indicate partly cloudy skies with isolated afternoon thunderstorms over Manila on September 14, supporting the market's tight clustering around 32–33°C implied probabilities. The southwest monsoon (habagat) maintains high humidity and scattered convection that can cap peak insolation, while urban heat island effects and variable cloud timing introduce uncertainty in exact maximum readings. Historical September averages near 31°C provide baseline context, yet current steering patterns and model consensus favor slight elevation without extreme heating. PAGASA's next regional updates and real-time observations will refine resolution criteria for this daily temperature market.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月14日马尼拉的最高温度？
9月14日马尼拉的最高温度？
32°C 41%
33°C 36%
34°C 13%
31°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-09-14
26°C或以下
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
11%
32°C
41%
33°C
36%
34°C
13%
35°C
<1%
36°C或更高
<1%
32°C 41%
33°C 36%
34°C 13%
31°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-09-14
26°C或以下
$297 交易量
<1%
27°C
$297 交易量
<1%
28°C
$435 交易量
<1%
29°C
$317 交易量
1%
30°C
$603 交易量
2%
31°C
$1,562 交易量
11%
32°C
$2,193 交易量
41%
33°C
$1,709 交易量
36%
34°C
$624 交易量
13%
35°C
$329 交易量
<1%
36°C或更高
$199 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent PAGASA advisories and global model runs indicate partly cloudy skies with isolated afternoon thunderstorms over Manila on September 14, supporting the market's tight clustering around 32–33°C implied probabilities. The southwest monsoon (habagat) maintains high humidity and scattered convection that can cap peak insolation, while urban heat island effects and variable cloud timing introduce uncertainty in exact maximum readings. Historical September averages near 31°C provide baseline context, yet current steering patterns and model consensus favor slight elevation without extreme heating. PAGASA's next regional updates and real-time observations will refine resolution criteria for this daily temperature market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 12, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
交易量
$8,564结束日期
2026-09-14市场开放时间
Sep 12, 2026, 12:59 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent PAGASA advisories and global model runs indicate partly cloudy skies with isolated afternoon thunderstorms over Manila on September 14, supporting the market's tight clustering around 32–33°C implied probabilities. The southwest monsoon (habagat) maintains high humidity and scattered convection that can cap peak insolation, while urban heat island effects and variable cloud timing introduce uncertainty in exact maximum readings. Historical September averages near 31°C provide baseline context, yet current steering patterns and model consensus favor slight elevation without extreme heating. PAGASA's next regional updates and real-time observations will refine resolution criteria for this daily temperature market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$8,564结束日期
2026-09-14市场开放时间
Sep 12, 2026, 12:59 AM ETRecent PAGASA advisories and global model runs indicate partly cloudy skies with isolated afternoon thunderstorms over Manila on September 14, supporting the market's tight clustering around 32–33°C implied probabilities. The southwest monsoon (habagat) maintains high humidity and scattered convection that can cap peak insolation, while urban heat island effects and variable cloud timing introduce uncertainty in exact maximum readings. Historical September averages near 31°C provide baseline context, yet current steering patterns and model consensus favor slight elevation without extreme heating. PAGASA's next regional updates and real-time observations will refine resolution criteria for this daily temperature market.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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