Traders assign the highest probability to a 15°C daily maximum in Wellington on September 13, driven by short-range forecast guidance showing a stable springtime regime with moderate northwesterly winds and limited cloud cover. Current surface observations and model consensus indicate temperatures will remain close to the seasonal average for mid-September, with no strong frontal passages or significant warm-air advection expected before the daily peak. Ensemble spreads remain tight, keeping 14°C and 16°C as plausible but lower-probability outcomes tied to small shifts in wind strength or timing of any diurnal heating. This distribution reflects the narrow forecast uncertainty typical for a 24-hour window in the region.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月13日惠灵顿的最高温度？
9月13日惠灵顿的最高温度？
15°C 63%
14°C 27%
16°C 9%
13°C 3%
最新
$18,104 交易量
最新
$18,104 交易量
2026-09-13
10°C或以下
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
3%
14°C
27%
15°C
63%
16°C
9%
17°C
1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C或以上
<1%
15°C 63%
14°C 27%
16°C 9%
13°C 3%
最新
$18,104 交易量
最新
$18,104 交易量
2026-09-13
10°C或以下
$704 交易量
<1%
11°C
$284 交易量
<1%
12°C
$478 交易量
<1%
13°C
$1,240 交易量
3%
14°C
$3,915 交易量
27%
15°C
$4,812 交易量
63%
16°C
$4,967 交易量
9%
17°C
$697 交易量
1%
18°C
$48 交易量
<1%
19°C
$746 交易量
<1%
20°C或以上
$213 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign the highest probability to a 15°C daily maximum in Wellington on September 13, driven by short-range forecast guidance showing a stable springtime regime with moderate northwesterly winds and limited cloud cover. Current surface observations and model consensus indicate temperatures will remain close to the seasonal average for mid-September, with no strong frontal passages or significant warm-air advection expected before the daily peak. Ensemble spreads remain tight, keeping 14°C and 16°C as plausible but lower-probability outcomes tied to small shifts in wind strength or timing of any diurnal heating. This distribution reflects the narrow forecast uncertainty typical for a 24-hour window in the region.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$18,104结束日期
2026-09-13市场开放时间
Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign the highest probability to a 15°C daily maximum in Wellington on September 13, driven by short-range forecast guidance showing a stable springtime regime with moderate northwesterly winds and limited cloud cover. Current surface observations and model consensus indicate temperatures will remain close to the seasonal average for mid-September, with no strong frontal passages or significant warm-air advection expected before the daily peak. Ensemble spreads remain tight, keeping 14°C and 16°C as plausible but lower-probability outcomes tied to small shifts in wind strength or timing of any diurnal heating. This distribution reflects the narrow forecast uncertainty typical for a 24-hour window in the region.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$18,104结束日期
2026-09-13市场开放时间
Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ETTraders assign the highest probability to a 15°C daily maximum in Wellington on September 13, driven by short-range forecast guidance showing a stable springtime regime with moderate northwesterly winds and limited cloud cover. Current surface observations and model consensus indicate temperatures will remain close to the seasonal average for mid-September, with no strong frontal passages or significant warm-air advection expected before the daily peak. Ensemble spreads remain tight, keeping 14°C and 16°C as plausible but lower-probability outcomes tied to small shifts in wind strength or timing of any diurnal heating. This distribution reflects the narrow forecast uncertainty typical for a 24-hour window in the region.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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