**Trader sentiment for Mexico City's September 14 lowest temperature remains tightly balanced between 13°C and 14°C (roughly 48–53% implied probability each), reflecting genuine uncertainty in overnight minimums.** Pre-dawn forecasts from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional highlighted a minimum range of 13–15°C under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers and thunderstorms, which limited radiative cooling. Hourly observations near Benito Juárez International Airport and central stations showed temperatures bottoming near 13°C in the early morning hours before rising with daytime heating and humidity. Differentiating factors between 13°C and 14°C include subtle variations in cloud cover timing, localized rain-cooled air, wind speed, and the precise urban measurement site, all of which can shift the recorded low by 1°C. Historical September baselines for the city center hover around 10–12°C, but recent wetter, cloudier conditions elevated the floor. Market resolution will hinge on the final official SMN or airport reading once fully processed.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于墨西哥城9月14日的最低温度?
14°C 99%
11°C 20%
12°C 20%
13°C 20%
$747 交易量
$747 交易量
7℃或以下
否
8°C
否
9°C
否
10°C
否
11°C
否
12°C
否
13°C
否
14°C
是
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C或更高
否
14°C 99%
11°C 20%
12°C 20%
13°C 20%
$747 交易量
$747 交易量
7℃或以下
否
8°C
否
9°C
否
10°C
否
11°C
否
12°C
否
13°C
否
14°C
是
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C或更高
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 12, 2026, 8:30 AM ET
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
**Trader sentiment for Mexico City's September 14 lowest temperature remains tightly balanced between 13°C and 14°C (roughly 48–53% implied probability each), reflecting genuine uncertainty in overnight minimums.** Pre-dawn forecasts from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional highlighted a minimum range of 13–15°C under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers and thunderstorms, which limited radiative cooling. Hourly observations near Benito Juárez International Airport and central stations showed temperatures bottoming near 13°C in the early morning hours before rising with daytime heating and humidity. Differentiating factors between 13°C and 14°C include subtle variations in cloud cover timing, localized rain-cooled air, wind speed, and the precise urban measurement site, all of which can shift the recorded low by 1°C. Historical September baselines for the city center hover around 10–12°C, but recent wetter, cloudier conditions elevated the floor. Market resolution will hinge on the final official SMN or airport reading once fully processed.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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