Forecast models from sources including the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and local meteorological services indicate a likely overnight low near 12–14 °C for Mexico City on September 21, driven by the city’s 2,240 m elevation, clear to partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds, and moderate humidity that permits efficient radiative cooling after sunset. Trader sentiment remains nearly balanced between the 17 °C-or-higher and sub-7 °C outcomes because ensemble spreads show sensitivity to small shifts in cloud cover, dew-point depression, and any late-evening showers that could raise or lower the minimum by 1–2 °C. Historical September averages place the typical low around 13 °C, so resolution hinges on the final 00:00–06:00 local-time observations once the diurnal minimum is reached.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于墨西哥城9月21日的最低温度?
17°C或更高 100%
7°C或以下 98%
12°C 98%
13°C 98%
7°C或以下
98%
8°C
13%
9°C
13%
10°C
13%
11°C
40%
12°C
98%
13°C
98%
14°C
22%
15°C
38%
16°C
98%
17°C或更高
100%
17°C或更高 100%
7°C或以下 98%
12°C 98%
13°C 98%
7°C或以下
98%
8°C
13%
9°C
13%
10°C
13%
11°C
40%
12°C
98%
13°C
98%
14°C
22%
15°C
38%
16°C
98%
17°C或更高
100%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 19, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models from sources including the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and local meteorological services indicate a likely overnight low near 12–14 °C for Mexico City on September 21, driven by the city’s 2,240 m elevation, clear to partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds, and moderate humidity that permits efficient radiative cooling after sunset. Trader sentiment remains nearly balanced between the 17 °C-or-higher and sub-7 °C outcomes because ensemble spreads show sensitivity to small shifts in cloud cover, dew-point depression, and any late-evening showers that could raise or lower the minimum by 1–2 °C. Historical September averages place the typical low around 13 °C, so resolution hinges on the final 00:00–06:00 local-time observations once the diurnal minimum is reached.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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