Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate Dallas overnight lows on September 22 will likely settle in the mid-70s under partly cloudy skies and light northeast winds of 5–10 mph. These conditions limit strong radiational cooling compared with clear, calm nights, while elevated dew points near 65–70 °F further moderate the temperature drop. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 74–79 °F reflects this consensus, with small differences hinging on the precise timing and extent of any cloud breaks or wind shifts overnight; a brief clearing window could push the minimum toward 72–73 °F, while persistent clouds or slightly stronger flow would favor 76–77 °F. Updated forecast discussions and hourly observations on the 22nd will be the key near-term drivers.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月22日达拉斯最低温度?
74-75°F 27%
76-77°F 25%
78-79°F 22%
70-71°F 11%
65°F或以下
4%
66-67°F
5%
68-69°F
7%
70-71°F
11%
72-73°F
11%
74-75°F
27%
76-77°F
25%
78-79°F
22%
80-81°F
11%
82-83°F
11%
84°F或更高
7%
74-75°F 27%
76-77°F 25%
78-79°F 22%
70-71°F 11%
65°F或以下
4%
66-67°F
5%
68-69°F
7%
70-71°F
11%
72-73°F
11%
74-75°F
27%
76-77°F
25%
78-79°F
22%
80-81°F
11%
82-83°F
11%
84°F或更高
7%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 20, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate Dallas overnight lows on September 22 will likely settle in the mid-70s under partly cloudy skies and light northeast winds of 5–10 mph. These conditions limit strong radiational cooling compared with clear, calm nights, while elevated dew points near 65–70 °F further moderate the temperature drop. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 74–79 °F reflects this consensus, with small differences hinging on the precise timing and extent of any cloud breaks or wind shifts overnight; a brief clearing window could push the minimum toward 72–73 °F, while persistent clouds or slightly stronger flow would favor 76–77 °F. Updated forecast discussions and hourly observations on the 22nd will be the key near-term drivers.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题