**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in Los Angeles on September 22 centers on the mid-60s°F range, with 66-67°F leading at 44.5% implied probability.** Official National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance indicate an overnight low in the 64–67°F range under a stable marine layer and light to moderate southwest onshore flow, which limits radiative cooling near the coast. Recent observations show similar lows of 65–66°F amid partly cloudy conditions and dew points in the upper 50s to mid-60s, supporting this cluster. No major model shifts or synoptic changes have emerged in the past 48 hours to push probabilities toward warmer or cooler bins. Resolution hinges on the official minimum at a primary station such as Los Angeles International Airport, where coastal moderation typically keeps values above inland areas.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月22日洛杉矶最低温度?
66-67°F 47%
64-65°F 47%
62-63°F 28%
60-61°F 19%
57°F或以下
6%
58-59°F
10%
60-61°F
19%
62-63°F
28%
64-65°F
47%
66-67°F
44%
68-69°F
13%
70-71华氏度
11%
72-73°F
6%
74-75°F
4%
76°F或更高
4%
66-67°F 47%
64-65°F 47%
62-63°F 28%
60-61°F 19%
57°F或以下
6%
58-59°F
10%
60-61°F
19%
62-63°F
28%
64-65°F
47%
66-67°F
44%
68-69°F
13%
70-71华氏度
11%
72-73°F
6%
74-75°F
4%
76°F或更高
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 20, 2026, 7:29 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in Los Angeles on September 22 centers on the mid-60s°F range, with 66-67°F leading at 44.5% implied probability.** Official National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance indicate an overnight low in the 64–67°F range under a stable marine layer and light to moderate southwest onshore flow, which limits radiative cooling near the coast. Recent observations show similar lows of 65–66°F amid partly cloudy conditions and dew points in the upper 50s to mid-60s, supporting this cluster. No major model shifts or synoptic changes have emerged in the past 48 hours to push probabilities toward warmer or cooler bins. Resolution hinges on the official minimum at a primary station such as Los Angeles International Airport, where coastal moderation typically keeps values above inland areas.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题