Persistent rain and extensive cloud cover from a slow-moving system with southeast winds are suppressing daytime heating across New York City on September 20, positioning the daily high near 69–70 °F according to National Weather Service guidance and multiple forecast models. These conditions, which include a 80–100 % chance of precipitation and gusty flow, limit solar insolation and keep readings below the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 74.8 °F. Market-implied odds favor the 70–71 °F bin at 51.5 % because recent model runs converge on that narrow range, while lower bins capture residual uncertainty from timing of heaviest rain and minor model spread. Traders are monitoring afternoon observations and any late-day clearing that could allow a brief spike into the low 70s.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月20日纽约市的最高温度？
9月20日纽约市的最高温度？
70-71°F 52%
68-69°F 27%
72-73°F 15%
66-67°F 10%
最新
$32,210 交易量
最新
$32,210 交易量
2026-09-20
59华氏度或以下
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63华氏度
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
10%
68-69°F
27%
70-71°F
52%
72-73°F
15%
74-75°F
3%
76-77°F
<1%
78°F或更高
<1%
70-71°F 52%
68-69°F 27%
72-73°F 15%
66-67°F 10%
最新
$32,210 交易量
最新
$32,210 交易量
2026-09-20
59华氏度或以下
$111 交易量
<1%
60-61°F
$111 交易量
<1%
62-63华氏度
$131 交易量
<1%
64-65°F
$6,798 交易量
<1%
66-67°F
$2,929 交易量
10%
68-69°F
$5,646 交易量
27%
70-71°F
$7,505 交易量
52%
72-73°F
$4,824 交易量
15%
74-75°F
$2,679 交易量
3%
76-77°F
$1,173 交易量
<1%
78°F或更高
$302 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent rain and extensive cloud cover from a slow-moving system with southeast winds are suppressing daytime heating across New York City on September 20, positioning the daily high near 69–70 °F according to National Weather Service guidance and multiple forecast models. These conditions, which include a 80–100 % chance of precipitation and gusty flow, limit solar insolation and keep readings below the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 74.8 °F. Market-implied odds favor the 70–71 °F bin at 51.5 % because recent model runs converge on that narrow range, while lower bins capture residual uncertainty from timing of heaviest rain and minor model spread. Traders are monitoring afternoon observations and any late-day clearing that could allow a brief spike into the low 70s.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 18, 2026, 2:55 AM ET
交易量
$32,210结束日期
2026-09-20市场开放时间
Sep 18, 2026, 2:55 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent rain and extensive cloud cover from a slow-moving system with southeast winds are suppressing daytime heating across New York City on September 20, positioning the daily high near 69–70 °F according to National Weather Service guidance and multiple forecast models. These conditions, which include a 80–100 % chance of precipitation and gusty flow, limit solar insolation and keep readings below the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 74.8 °F. Market-implied odds favor the 70–71 °F bin at 51.5 % because recent model runs converge on that narrow range, while lower bins capture residual uncertainty from timing of heaviest rain and minor model spread. Traders are monitoring afternoon observations and any late-day clearing that could allow a brief spike into the low 70s.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$32,210结束日期
2026-09-20市场开放时间
Sep 18, 2026, 2:55 AM ETPersistent rain and extensive cloud cover from a slow-moving system with southeast winds are suppressing daytime heating across New York City on September 20, positioning the daily high near 69–70 °F according to National Weather Service guidance and multiple forecast models. These conditions, which include a 80–100 % chance of precipitation and gusty flow, limit solar insolation and keep readings below the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 74.8 °F. Market-implied odds favor the 70–71 °F bin at 51.5 % because recent model runs converge on that narrow range, while lower bins capture residual uncertainty from timing of heaviest rain and minor model spread. Traders are monitoring afternoon observations and any late-day clearing that could allow a brief spike into the low 70s.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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