Forecast consensus from multiple models places Beijing's September 22 high near 29–30°C, aligning with the market's leading 30°C outcome at 53.5% implied probability. Southerly flow and partly cloudy conditions are expected to moderate temperatures during the seasonal transition, with light winds and low precipitation risk limiting both cooling and extreme warming. Recent observations show daily highs of 27–29°C, consistent with climatological norms for late September rather than anomalous heat. Model spreads introduce modest uncertainty around exact peaks, though none currently support significant deviation toward 33°C or higher or sub-28°C readings. Updated National Meteorological Center guidance ahead of the date will provide the key resolution inputs for traders.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月22日北京气温最高？
9月22日北京气温最高？
30°C 48%
31°C 35%
29°C 18%
35°C或更高 15%
最新
最新
2026-09-22
25°C或以下
4%
26°C
4%
27°C
4%
28°C
9%
29°C
18%
30°C
48%
31°C
35%
32°C
5%
33°C
14%
34°C
14%
35°C或更高
15%
30°C 48%
31°C 35%
29°C 18%
35°C或更高 15%
最新
最新
2026-09-22
25°C或以下
$0 交易量
4%
26°C
$0 交易量
4%
27°C
$0 交易量
4%
28°C
$87 交易量
9%
29°C
$151 交易量
18%
30°C
$249 交易量
48%
31°C
$280 交易量
35%
32°C
$121 交易量
5%
33°C
$0 交易量
14%
34°C
$0 交易量
14%
35°C或更高
$0 交易量
15%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from multiple models places Beijing's September 22 high near 29–30°C, aligning with the market's leading 30°C outcome at 53.5% implied probability. Southerly flow and partly cloudy conditions are expected to moderate temperatures during the seasonal transition, with light winds and low precipitation risk limiting both cooling and extreme warming. Recent observations show daily highs of 27–29°C, consistent with climatological norms for late September rather than anomalous heat. Model spreads introduce modest uncertainty around exact peaks, though none currently support significant deviation toward 33°C or higher or sub-28°C readings. Updated National Meteorological Center guidance ahead of the date will provide the key resolution inputs for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$888结束日期
2026-09-22市场开放时间
Sep 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from multiple models places Beijing's September 22 high near 29–30°C, aligning with the market's leading 30°C outcome at 53.5% implied probability. Southerly flow and partly cloudy conditions are expected to moderate temperatures during the seasonal transition, with light winds and low precipitation risk limiting both cooling and extreme warming. Recent observations show daily highs of 27–29°C, consistent with climatological norms for late September rather than anomalous heat. Model spreads introduce modest uncertainty around exact peaks, though none currently support significant deviation toward 33°C or higher or sub-28°C readings. Updated National Meteorological Center guidance ahead of the date will provide the key resolution inputs for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$888结束日期
2026-09-22市场开放时间
Sep 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ETForecast consensus from multiple models places Beijing's September 22 high near 29–30°C, aligning with the market's leading 30°C outcome at 53.5% implied probability. Southerly flow and partly cloudy conditions are expected to moderate temperatures during the seasonal transition, with light winds and low precipitation risk limiting both cooling and extreme warming. Recent observations show daily highs of 27–29°C, consistent with climatological norms for late September rather than anomalous heat. Model spreads introduce modest uncertainty around exact peaks, though none currently support significant deviation toward 33°C or higher or sub-28°C readings. Updated National Meteorological Center guidance ahead of the date will provide the key resolution inputs for traders.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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