Current numerical weather models, including GFS and regional guidance, indicate Helsinki will experience mostly clear to partly cloudy conditions on September 22 under building high pressure and northerly flow, supporting a daytime maximum near 14–16 °C. This aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 15 °C (44.5 %) and 16 °C (28 %), values that sit close to the late-September climatological normal of roughly 14 °C. Recent model runs have shown modest warming relative to earlier cooler solutions, trimming probabilities for 14 °C or below while keeping higher outliers below 10 % combined. Official Finnish Meteorological Institute updates and the final 48-hour forecast cycle will provide the last refinements before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月22日赫尔辛基的最高温度?
15°C 45%
16°C 27%
14°C 13%
13°C 7%
9°C或以下
1%
10°C
1%
11°C
5%
12°C
6%
13°C
7%
14°C
13%
15°C
45%
16°C
27%
17°C
6%
18°C
6%
19°C或更高
5%
15°C 45%
16°C 27%
14°C 13%
13°C 7%
9°C或以下
1%
10°C
1%
11°C
5%
12°C
6%
13°C
7%
14°C
13%
15°C
45%
16°C
27%
17°C
6%
18°C
6%
19°C或更高
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 20, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current numerical weather models, including GFS and regional guidance, indicate Helsinki will experience mostly clear to partly cloudy conditions on September 22 under building high pressure and northerly flow, supporting a daytime maximum near 14–16 °C. This aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 15 °C (44.5 %) and 16 °C (28 %), values that sit close to the late-September climatological normal of roughly 14 °C. Recent model runs have shown modest warming relative to earlier cooler solutions, trimming probabilities for 14 °C or below while keeping higher outliers below 10 % combined. Official Finnish Meteorological Institute updates and the final 48-hour forecast cycle will provide the last refinements before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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