Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate partly cloudy skies and light variable winds for Cape Town on September 22, supporting trader emphasis on 31–33°C outcomes as the market consensus. Easterly flow in the morning hours could enhance daytime heating before a shift to southwesterlies, while scattered cloud development and a low chance of isolated showers introduce uncertainty around the exact peak. These conditions align with spring patterns where brief warm anomalies occur but rarely sustain extreme highs, keeping probabilities for 34°C or above limited. Updated model runs and local observations in the next 48 hours will likely refine the maximum temperature range ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月22日开普敦气温最高？
9月22日开普敦气温最高？
32°C 29%
33°C 25%
34°C 24%
31°C 17%
最新
最新
2026-09-22
26°C或以下
7%
27°C
3%
28°C
8%
29°C
10%
30°C
12%
31°C
22%
32°C
29%
33°C
25%
34°C
24%
35°C
4%
36°C或更高
4%
32°C 29%
33°C 25%
34°C 24%
31°C 17%
最新
最新
2026-09-22
26°C或以下
$14 交易量
7%
27°C
$0 交易量
3%
28°C
$0 交易量
8%
29°C
$0 交易量
10%
30°C
$6 交易量
12%
31°C
$6 交易量
22%
32°C
$85 交易量
29%
33°C
$101 交易量
25%
34°C
$0 交易量
24%
35°C
$0 交易量
4%
36°C或更高
$0 交易量
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate partly cloudy skies and light variable winds for Cape Town on September 22, supporting trader emphasis on 31–33°C outcomes as the market consensus. Easterly flow in the morning hours could enhance daytime heating before a shift to southwesterlies, while scattered cloud development and a low chance of isolated showers introduce uncertainty around the exact peak. These conditions align with spring patterns where brief warm anomalies occur but rarely sustain extreme highs, keeping probabilities for 34°C or above limited. Updated model runs and local observations in the next 48 hours will likely refine the maximum temperature range ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 20, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$212结束日期
2026-09-22市场开放时间
Sep 20, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate partly cloudy skies and light variable winds for Cape Town on September 22, supporting trader emphasis on 31–33°C outcomes as the market consensus. Easterly flow in the morning hours could enhance daytime heating before a shift to southwesterlies, while scattered cloud development and a low chance of isolated showers introduce uncertainty around the exact peak. These conditions align with spring patterns where brief warm anomalies occur but rarely sustain extreme highs, keeping probabilities for 34°C or above limited. Updated model runs and local observations in the next 48 hours will likely refine the maximum temperature range ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$212结束日期
2026-09-22市场开放时间
Sep 20, 2026, 12:58 AM ETRecent forecasts from multiple models indicate partly cloudy skies and light variable winds for Cape Town on September 22, supporting trader emphasis on 31–33°C outcomes as the market consensus. Easterly flow in the morning hours could enhance daytime heating before a shift to southwesterlies, while scattered cloud development and a low chance of isolated showers introduce uncertainty around the exact peak. These conditions align with spring patterns where brief warm anomalies occur but rarely sustain extreme highs, keeping probabilities for 34°C or above limited. Updated model runs and local observations in the next 48 hours will likely refine the maximum temperature range ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题