Latest forecast models and real-time observations from agencies like the South African Weather Service show Cape Town under clear skies with moderate southeasterly winds on September 21, supporting a daytime maximum clustered around 26–29 °C. This spring setup features strong solar insolation and limited cloud cover, pushing temperatures above the month’s long-term average high near 19 °C. Subtle differences among leading outcomes (28 °C at 31.5 % market-implied probability, followed closely by 27 °C and 29 °C) stem from variations in model timing of peak heating, local wind channeling around Table Mountain, and station-specific measurement criteria. Traders weigh these near-term variables against historical September extremes, with new hourly data releases expected to narrow the tight spread before market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月21日开普敦气温最高？
9月21日开普敦气温最高？
28°C 31%
29°C 22%
27°C 22%
26°C 11%
最新
$13,992 交易量
最新
$13,992 交易量
2026-09-21
22°C或更低
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
3%
26°C
11%
27°C
22%
28°C
31%
29°C
22%
30°C
6%
31°C
4%
32°C或更高
<1%
28°C 31%
29°C 22%
27°C 22%
26°C 11%
最新
$13,992 交易量
最新
$13,992 交易量
2026-09-21
22°C或更低
$4,204 交易量
1%
23°C
$330 交易量
1%
24°C
$77 交易量
1%
25°C
$184 交易量
3%
26°C
$966 交易量
11%
27°C
$1,071 交易量
22%
28°C
$2,083 交易量
31%
29°C
$3,371 交易量
22%
30°C
$840 交易量
6%
31°C
$694 交易量
4%
32°C或更高
$173 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast models and real-time observations from agencies like the South African Weather Service show Cape Town under clear skies with moderate southeasterly winds on September 21, supporting a daytime maximum clustered around 26–29 °C. This spring setup features strong solar insolation and limited cloud cover, pushing temperatures above the month’s long-term average high near 19 °C. Subtle differences among leading outcomes (28 °C at 31.5 % market-implied probability, followed closely by 27 °C and 29 °C) stem from variations in model timing of peak heating, local wind channeling around Table Mountain, and station-specific measurement criteria. Traders weigh these near-term variables against historical September extremes, with new hourly data releases expected to narrow the tight spread before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$13,992结束日期
2026-09-21市场开放时间
Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast models and real-time observations from agencies like the South African Weather Service show Cape Town under clear skies with moderate southeasterly winds on September 21, supporting a daytime maximum clustered around 26–29 °C. This spring setup features strong solar insolation and limited cloud cover, pushing temperatures above the month’s long-term average high near 19 °C. Subtle differences among leading outcomes (28 °C at 31.5 % market-implied probability, followed closely by 27 °C and 29 °C) stem from variations in model timing of peak heating, local wind channeling around Table Mountain, and station-specific measurement criteria. Traders weigh these near-term variables against historical September extremes, with new hourly data releases expected to narrow the tight spread before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$13,992结束日期
2026-09-21市场开放时间
Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ETLatest forecast models and real-time observations from agencies like the South African Weather Service show Cape Town under clear skies with moderate southeasterly winds on September 21, supporting a daytime maximum clustered around 26–29 °C. This spring setup features strong solar insolation and limited cloud cover, pushing temperatures above the month’s long-term average high near 19 °C. Subtle differences among leading outcomes (28 °C at 31.5 % market-implied probability, followed closely by 27 °C and 29 °C) stem from variations in model timing of peak heating, local wind channeling around Table Mountain, and station-specific measurement criteria. Traders weigh these near-term variables against historical September extremes, with new hourly data releases expected to narrow the tight spread before market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题