Recent numerical weather prediction models indicate peak temperatures in Tel Aviv on September 21 will likely reach 30–31°C under mostly sunny skies with moderate northwest winds around 8–12 mph and low humidity. This consensus aligns closely with late-September climatological norms of 29–30°C highs, with limited afternoon cloud cover or sea-breeze effects introducing minor uncertainty in the exact maximum. The near-even market split between 30°C and 31°C reflects small differences across ensemble runs regarding peak timing and local measurement variability at official stations, while probabilities for 32°C or higher remain negligible absent any unexpected warming. Updated model guidance and real-time observations tomorrow will determine the final recorded high.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月21日特拉维夫的最高温度?
31°C 54%
30°C 45%
32°C 2%
34°C <1%
$20,587 交易量
$20,587 交易量
27°C或以下
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
45%
31°C
54%
32°C
2%
33°C
1%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C或更高
<1%
31°C 54%
30°C 45%
32°C 2%
34°C <1%
$20,587 交易量
$20,587 交易量
27°C或以下
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
45%
31°C
54%
32°C
2%
33°C
1%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent numerical weather prediction models indicate peak temperatures in Tel Aviv on September 21 will likely reach 30–31°C under mostly sunny skies with moderate northwest winds around 8–12 mph and low humidity. This consensus aligns closely with late-September climatological norms of 29–30°C highs, with limited afternoon cloud cover or sea-breeze effects introducing minor uncertainty in the exact maximum. The near-even market split between 30°C and 31°C reflects small differences across ensemble runs regarding peak timing and local measurement variability at official stations, while probabilities for 32°C or higher remain negligible absent any unexpected warming. Updated model guidance and real-time observations tomorrow will determine the final recorded high.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题