Recent forecasts from global and regional models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, indicate a stable high-pressure regime over the eastern Mediterranean with light northwest winds and minimal cloud cover on September 20, supporting a daytime maximum in Tel Aviv of 29–31°C. Coastal sea-breeze effects and the typical late-September climatology—averaging near 29°C—reinforce this narrow range, while the absence of upper-level troughs or Saharan intrusions limits upside potential. Trader consensus reflected in the 61% implied probability for 31°C and 31.5% for 30°C aligns closely with the latest model guidance and recent station observations showing consistent highs near 30°C amid dry conditions. Updated model runs through the evening of September 19 will provide the final refinement before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月20日特拉维夫的最高温度？
9月20日特拉维夫的最高温度？
31°C 61%
30°C 35%
32°C 4%
29°C 1.0%
最新
最新
2026-09-20
27°C或以下
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
35%
31°C
61%
32°C
4%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C或更高
<1%
31°C 61%
30°C 35%
32°C 4%
29°C 1.0%
最新
最新
2026-09-20
27°C或以下
$41 交易量
<1%
28°C
$589 交易量
<1%
29°C
$146 交易量
1%
30°C
$775 交易量
35%
31°C
$820 交易量
61%
32°C
$657 交易量
4%
33°C
$241 交易量
<1%
34°C
$576 交易量
<1%
35°C
$551 交易量
<1%
36°C
$402 交易量
<1%
37°C或更高
$202 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from global and regional models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, indicate a stable high-pressure regime over the eastern Mediterranean with light northwest winds and minimal cloud cover on September 20, supporting a daytime maximum in Tel Aviv of 29–31°C. Coastal sea-breeze effects and the typical late-September climatology—averaging near 29°C—reinforce this narrow range, while the absence of upper-level troughs or Saharan intrusions limits upside potential. Trader consensus reflected in the 61% implied probability for 31°C and 31.5% for 30°C aligns closely with the latest model guidance and recent station observations showing consistent highs near 30°C amid dry conditions. Updated model runs through the evening of September 19 will provide the final refinement before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$5,000结束日期
2026-09-20市场开放时间
Sep 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from global and regional models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, indicate a stable high-pressure regime over the eastern Mediterranean with light northwest winds and minimal cloud cover on September 20, supporting a daytime maximum in Tel Aviv of 29–31°C. Coastal sea-breeze effects and the typical late-September climatology—averaging near 29°C—reinforce this narrow range, while the absence of upper-level troughs or Saharan intrusions limits upside potential. Trader consensus reflected in the 61% implied probability for 31°C and 31.5% for 30°C aligns closely with the latest model guidance and recent station observations showing consistent highs near 30°C amid dry conditions. Updated model runs through the evening of September 19 will provide the final refinement before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$5,000结束日期
2026-09-20市场开放时间
Sep 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent forecasts from global and regional models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, indicate a stable high-pressure regime over the eastern Mediterranean with light northwest winds and minimal cloud cover on September 20, supporting a daytime maximum in Tel Aviv of 29–31°C. Coastal sea-breeze effects and the typical late-September climatology—averaging near 29°C—reinforce this narrow range, while the absence of upper-level troughs or Saharan intrusions limits upside potential. Trader consensus reflected in the 61% implied probability for 31°C and 31.5% for 30°C aligns closely with the latest model guidance and recent station observations showing consistent highs near 30°C amid dry conditions. Updated model runs through the evening of September 19 will provide the final refinement before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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