**Forecast consensus from global and regional models positions 25°C as the most likely daily high for Istanbul on September 21, with many runs centering on 25–26°C under clear to partly cloudy skies and light northeasterly flow.** Stable high pressure and minimal moisture advection support modest daytime warming typical of late September, when climatological averages hover near 23–25°C. Recent model updates show little spread, with GFS and ECMWF guidance aligning closely and low precipitation risk keeping temperatures from deviating sharply. Traders appear to weight the tight cluster of official and ensemble outputs, producing heavy implied probability on 25°C while assigning limited odds to modest upside or downside surprises. Resolution occurs after the full diurnal cycle, with any last-hour adjustments from local observations or model refreshes the primary remaining uncertainty.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月21日伊斯坦布尔的最高温度？
9月21日伊斯坦布尔的最高温度？
25°C 63%
24°C 25%
26°C 13%
23°C 3%
最新
最新
2026-09-21
20°C或以下
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
3%
24°C
25%
25°C
63%
26°C
13%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C或更高
1%
25°C 63%
24°C 25%
26°C 13%
23°C 3%
最新
最新
2026-09-21
20°C或以下
$111 交易量
<1%
21°C
$66 交易量
1%
22°C
$68 交易量
1%
23°C
$335 交易量
3%
24°C
$597 交易量
25%
25°C
$451 交易量
63%
26°C
$413 交易量
13%
27°C
$166 交易量
2%
28°C
$66 交易量
1%
29°C
$0 交易量
2%
30°C或更高
$24 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from global and regional models positions 25°C as the most likely daily high for Istanbul on September 21, with many runs centering on 25–26°C under clear to partly cloudy skies and light northeasterly flow.**
Stable high pressure and minimal moisture advection support modest daytime warming typical of late September, when climatological averages hover near 23–25°C. Recent model updates show little spread, with GFS and ECMWF guidance aligning closely and low precipitation risk keeping temperatures from deviating sharply. Traders appear to weight the tight cluster of official and ensemble outputs, producing heavy implied probability on 25°C while assigning limited odds to modest upside or downside surprises. Resolution occurs after the full diurnal cycle, with any last-hour adjustments from local observations or model refreshes the primary remaining uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$2,296结束日期
2026-09-21市场开放时间
Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from global and regional models positions 25°C as the most likely daily high for Istanbul on September 21, with many runs centering on 25–26°C under clear to partly cloudy skies and light northeasterly flow.**
Stable high pressure and minimal moisture advection support modest daytime warming typical of late September, when climatological averages hover near 23–25°C. Recent model updates show little spread, with GFS and ECMWF guidance aligning closely and low precipitation risk keeping temperatures from deviating sharply. Traders appear to weight the tight cluster of official and ensemble outputs, producing heavy implied probability on 25°C while assigning limited odds to modest upside or downside surprises. Resolution occurs after the full diurnal cycle, with any last-hour adjustments from local observations or model refreshes the primary remaining uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,296结束日期
2026-09-21市场开放时间
Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ET**Forecast consensus from global and regional models positions 25°C as the most likely daily high for Istanbul on September 21, with many runs centering on 25–26°C under clear to partly cloudy skies and light northeasterly flow.** Stable high pressure and minimal moisture advection support modest daytime warming typical of late September, when climatological averages hover near 23–25°C. Recent model updates show little spread, with GFS and ECMWF guidance aligning closely and low precipitation risk keeping temperatures from deviating sharply. Traders appear to weight the tight cluster of official and ensemble outputs, producing heavy implied probability on 25°C while assigning limited odds to modest upside or downside surprises. Resolution occurs after the full diurnal cycle, with any last-hour adjustments from local observations or model refreshes the primary remaining uncertainty.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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