Recent forecast models from agencies including the Korea Meteorological Administration and global ensembles like GFS point to a high near 26–27°C in Busan on September 22 under mostly clear skies and steady northeasterly winds of 10–16 mph. These conditions, typical of late-September high-pressure dominance, limit daytime heating while keeping humidity moderate. Trader consensus favoring 28°C at 63.5% implied probability likely reflects minor upward bias in some regional model runs or expectations around the precise official station reading, with 27°C and 29°C as secondary options capturing remaining forecast spread. Historical September highs average near 27°C, and the absence of significant frontal activity or moisture supports a narrow outcome range around these values. Updated model guidance expected overnight could refine probabilities before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月22日釜山气温最高？
9月22日釜山气温最高？
28°C 64%
27°C 21%
29°C 16%
26°C 3%
最新
$16,606 交易量
最新
$16,606 交易量
2026-09-22
22°C或以下
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
3%
27°C
21%
28°C
64%
29°C
16%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C或更高
<1%
28°C 64%
27°C 21%
29°C 16%
26°C 3%
最新
$16,606 交易量
最新
$16,606 交易量
2026-09-22
22°C或以下
$1,135 交易量
<1%
23°C
$111 交易量
<1%
24°C
$229 交易量
<1%
25°C
$180 交易量
<1%
26°C
$1,728 交易量
3%
27°C
$4,094 交易量
21%
28°C
$4,299 交易量
64%
29°C
$2,689 交易量
16%
30°C
$1,411 交易量
1%
31°C
$438 交易量
<1%
32°C或更高
$297 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from agencies including the Korea Meteorological Administration and global ensembles like GFS point to a high near 26–27°C in Busan on September 22 under mostly clear skies and steady northeasterly winds of 10–16 mph. These conditions, typical of late-September high-pressure dominance, limit daytime heating while keeping humidity moderate. Trader consensus favoring 28°C at 63.5% implied probability likely reflects minor upward bias in some regional model runs or expectations around the precise official station reading, with 27°C and 29°C as secondary options capturing remaining forecast spread. Historical September highs average near 27°C, and the absence of significant frontal activity or moisture supports a narrow outcome range around these values. Updated model guidance expected overnight could refine probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 20, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$16,606结束日期
2026-09-22市场开放时间
Sep 20, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from agencies including the Korea Meteorological Administration and global ensembles like GFS point to a high near 26–27°C in Busan on September 22 under mostly clear skies and steady northeasterly winds of 10–16 mph. These conditions, typical of late-September high-pressure dominance, limit daytime heating while keeping humidity moderate. Trader consensus favoring 28°C at 63.5% implied probability likely reflects minor upward bias in some regional model runs or expectations around the precise official station reading, with 27°C and 29°C as secondary options capturing remaining forecast spread. Historical September highs average near 27°C, and the absence of significant frontal activity or moisture supports a narrow outcome range around these values. Updated model guidance expected overnight could refine probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$16,606结束日期
2026-09-22市场开放时间
Sep 20, 2026, 12:58 AM ETRecent forecast models from agencies including the Korea Meteorological Administration and global ensembles like GFS point to a high near 26–27°C in Busan on September 22 under mostly clear skies and steady northeasterly winds of 10–16 mph. These conditions, typical of late-September high-pressure dominance, limit daytime heating while keeping humidity moderate. Trader consensus favoring 28°C at 63.5% implied probability likely reflects minor upward bias in some regional model runs or expectations around the precise official station reading, with 27°C and 29°C as secondary options capturing remaining forecast spread. Historical September highs average near 27°C, and the absence of significant frontal activity or moisture supports a narrow outcome range around these values. Updated model guidance expected overnight could refine probabilities before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题