Clear skies, high pressure, and light southerly winds are expected to drive strong daytime heating across Madrid on September 21, with official forecasts from multiple models indicating a peak around 32–33°C under dry conditions. This exceeds the 1991–2020 average high of 25.3°C for the date, reflecting a broader warm anomaly persisting into late September. Minor differences between leading outcomes hinge on precise afternoon wind speeds and any subtle model variations in boundary-layer mixing, as even small changes can shift the daily maximum by 1°C. Traders appear to weigh the tight cluster of guidance from GFS and European models, with resolution based on official station readings. Updated model runs and AEMET briefings tomorrow morning represent the next key data points.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月21日马德里气温最高？
9月21日马德里气温最高？
32°C 47%
33°C 42%
31°C 7.0%
34°C 4%
最新
$16,504 交易量
最新
$16,504 交易量
2026-09-21
26°C或以下
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
7%
32°C
47%
33°C
42%
34°C
4%
35°C
1%
36°C或更高
1%
32°C 47%
33°C 42%
31°C 7.0%
34°C 4%
最新
$16,504 交易量
最新
$16,504 交易量
2026-09-21
26°C或以下
$712 交易量
<1%
27°C
$300 交易量
<1%
28°C
$504 交易量
<1%
29°C
$135 交易量
1%
30°C
$317 交易量
<1%
31°C
$1,600 交易量
7%
32°C
$5,655 交易量
47%
33°C
$4,674 交易量
42%
34°C
$1,976 交易量
4%
35°C
$475 交易量
1%
36°C或更高
$155 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Clear skies, high pressure, and light southerly winds are expected to drive strong daytime heating across Madrid on September 21, with official forecasts from multiple models indicating a peak around 32–33°C under dry conditions. This exceeds the 1991–2020 average high of 25.3°C for the date, reflecting a broader warm anomaly persisting into late September. Minor differences between leading outcomes hinge on precise afternoon wind speeds and any subtle model variations in boundary-layer mixing, as even small changes can shift the daily maximum by 1°C. Traders appear to weigh the tight cluster of guidance from GFS and European models, with resolution based on official station readings. Updated model runs and AEMET briefings tomorrow morning represent the next key data points.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$16,504结束日期
2026-09-21市场开放时间
Sep 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Clear skies, high pressure, and light southerly winds are expected to drive strong daytime heating across Madrid on September 21, with official forecasts from multiple models indicating a peak around 32–33°C under dry conditions. This exceeds the 1991–2020 average high of 25.3°C for the date, reflecting a broader warm anomaly persisting into late September. Minor differences between leading outcomes hinge on precise afternoon wind speeds and any subtle model variations in boundary-layer mixing, as even small changes can shift the daily maximum by 1°C. Traders appear to weigh the tight cluster of guidance from GFS and European models, with resolution based on official station readings. Updated model runs and AEMET briefings tomorrow morning represent the next key data points.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$16,504结束日期
2026-09-21市场开放时间
Sep 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ETClear skies, high pressure, and light southerly winds are expected to drive strong daytime heating across Madrid on September 21, with official forecasts from multiple models indicating a peak around 32–33°C under dry conditions. This exceeds the 1991–2020 average high of 25.3°C for the date, reflecting a broader warm anomaly persisting into late September. Minor differences between leading outcomes hinge on precise afternoon wind speeds and any subtle model variations in boundary-layer mixing, as even small changes can shift the daily maximum by 1°C. Traders appear to weigh the tight cluster of guidance from GFS and European models, with resolution based on official station readings. Updated model runs and AEMET briefings tomorrow morning represent the next key data points.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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