Recent forecasts for Buenos Aires show a shift to northerly winds on September 23, drawing milder air after cooler southwesterly flow on prior days, with model consensus pointing to a daily maximum near 17–20°C under mostly cloudy skies. Ensemble spreads in GFS and ECMWF runs arise mainly from differences in cloud cover timing and wind speed, which can shift the afternoon peak by 1–2°C. Official monitoring from sources like the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and historical September baselines around 16–18°C further anchor trader probabilities tightly between 18°C and 20°C, with limited upside risk from stronger warming signals in some runs. Updated model guidance expected within 24 hours could narrow the distribution ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月23日布宜诺斯艾利斯的最高温度?
18°C 31%
19°C 28%
20°C 21%
17°C 13%
12°C或以下
2%
13°C
<1%
14°C
2%
15°C
3%
16°C
7%
17°C
13%
18°C
31%
19°C
28%
20°C
21%
21°C
10%
22°C或更高
6%
18°C 31%
19°C 28%
20°C 21%
17°C 13%
12°C或以下
2%
13°C
<1%
14°C
2%
15°C
3%
16°C
7%
17°C
13%
18°C
31%
19°C
28%
20°C
21%
21°C
10%
22°C或更高
6%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 21, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts for Buenos Aires show a shift to northerly winds on September 23, drawing milder air after cooler southwesterly flow on prior days, with model consensus pointing to a daily maximum near 17–20°C under mostly cloudy skies. Ensemble spreads in GFS and ECMWF runs arise mainly from differences in cloud cover timing and wind speed, which can shift the afternoon peak by 1–2°C. Official monitoring from sources like the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and historical September baselines around 16–18°C further anchor trader probabilities tightly between 18°C and 20°C, with limited upside risk from stronger warming signals in some runs. Updated model guidance expected within 24 hours could narrow the distribution ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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