Recent forecasts from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and global models show lingering effects of a recent cold front from Patagonia, with northerly winds promoting gradual warming ahead of September 23. Overnight lows are projected near 6–9°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, though model runs diverge on the exact minimum due to variable wind shifts and cloud cover that could trap or release heat. This uncertainty explains the tight market split between sub-4°C outcomes and milder readings above 12°C, as traders weigh historical September variability against current steering patterns and rapid post-frontal recovery. Updated model guidance and official overnight observations will likely refine probabilities before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月23日布宜诺斯艾利斯的最低温度？
9月23日布宜诺斯艾利斯的最低温度？
13°C或更高 81%
3°C或更低 44%
10°C 39%
11°C 37%
最新
最新
2026-09-23
3°C或更低
44%
4°C
22%
5°C
21%
6°C
22%
7°C
21%
8°C
21%
9°C
36%
10°C
39%
11°C
37%
12°C
19%
13°C或更高
81%
13°C或更高 81%
3°C或更低 44%
10°C 39%
11°C 37%
最新
最新
2026-09-23
3°C或更低
$0 交易量
44%
4°C
$0 交易量
22%
5°C
$0 交易量
21%
6°C
$0 交易量
22%
7°C
$0 交易量
21%
8°C
$0 交易量
21%
9°C
$30 交易量
36%
10°C
$50 交易量
39%
11°C
$40 交易量
37%
12°C
$100 交易量
19%
13°C或更高
$100 交易量
81%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and global models show lingering effects of a recent cold front from Patagonia, with northerly winds promoting gradual warming ahead of September 23. Overnight lows are projected near 6–9°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, though model runs diverge on the exact minimum due to variable wind shifts and cloud cover that could trap or release heat. This uncertainty explains the tight market split between sub-4°C outcomes and milder readings above 12°C, as traders weigh historical September variability against current steering patterns and rapid post-frontal recovery. Updated model guidance and official overnight observations will likely refine probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 21, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
交易量
$320结束日期
2026-09-23市场开放时间
Sep 21, 2026, 8:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and global models show lingering effects of a recent cold front from Patagonia, with northerly winds promoting gradual warming ahead of September 23. Overnight lows are projected near 6–9°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, though model runs diverge on the exact minimum due to variable wind shifts and cloud cover that could trap or release heat. This uncertainty explains the tight market split between sub-4°C outcomes and milder readings above 12°C, as traders weigh historical September variability against current steering patterns and rapid post-frontal recovery. Updated model guidance and official overnight observations will likely refine probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$320结束日期
2026-09-23市场开放时间
Sep 21, 2026, 8:29 AM ETRecent forecasts from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and global models show lingering effects of a recent cold front from Patagonia, with northerly winds promoting gradual warming ahead of September 23. Overnight lows are projected near 6–9°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, though model runs diverge on the exact minimum due to variable wind shifts and cloud cover that could trap or release heat. This uncertainty explains the tight market split between sub-4°C outcomes and milder readings above 12°C, as traders weigh historical September variability against current steering patterns and rapid post-frontal recovery. Updated model guidance and official overnight observations will likely refine probabilities before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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