Recent Central Weather Administration guidance and ensemble model runs point to a daytime maximum of 30–33°C in Taipei on September 19 under a weakening northeasterly flow, with limited shower activity and moderate humidity. This setup favors peak readings near 32–33°C if afternoon insolation is strong and boundary-layer mixing remains modest, aligning with the near-even market split between those two outcomes. Historical September averages hover around 30–31°C, so current conditions represent a modest positive anomaly. Key uncertainties include the precise timing of any cloud increases or localized showers that could cap temperatures at 31°C or below, with updated model guidance and CWA briefings expected to refine the range before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月19日台北气温最高?
35°C 37%
32°C 32%
33°C 28%
31°C 17%
26°C或以下
<1%
27°C
3%
28°C
3%
29°C
3%
30°C
8%
31°C
17%
32°C
32%
33°C
28%
34°C
15%
35°C
37%
36°C或更高
<1%
35°C 37%
32°C 32%
33°C 28%
31°C 17%
26°C或以下
<1%
27°C
3%
28°C
3%
29°C
3%
30°C
8%
31°C
17%
32°C
32%
33°C
28%
34°C
15%
35°C
37%
36°C或更高
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent Central Weather Administration guidance and ensemble model runs point to a daytime maximum of 30–33°C in Taipei on September 19 under a weakening northeasterly flow, with limited shower activity and moderate humidity. This setup favors peak readings near 32–33°C if afternoon insolation is strong and boundary-layer mixing remains modest, aligning with the near-even market split between those two outcomes. Historical September averages hover around 30–31°C, so current conditions represent a modest positive anomaly. Key uncertainties include the precise timing of any cloud increases or localized showers that could cap temperatures at 31°C or below, with updated model guidance and CWA briefings expected to refine the range before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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