Northeast monsoon flow continues to moderate daytime heating across northern Taiwan, anchoring the market's leading 31°C outcome as forecasters from the Central Weather Administration project highs near 30–32°C for Taipei on September 18 amid partly cloudy skies and isolated showers. Recent model runs show consistent steering patterns with easterly winds limiting solar insolation and promoting modest cloud cover, which caps peak readings below the seasonal average of 32°C. Traders weigh the 31–33°C cluster (87% combined) against lower probabilities for 30°C or below, reflecting residual uncertainty in exact cloud timing and any late-day clearing that could allow a brief spike. Updated CWA guidance and ensemble consensus expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine these implied probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月18日台北气温最高？
9月18日台北气温最高？
31°C 42%
30°C 23%
33°C 21%
32°C 20%
最新
最新
2026-09-18
25°C或以下
<1%
26°C
4%
27°C
15%
28°C
8%
29°C
14%
30°C
23%
31°C
42%
32°C
26%
33°C
21%
34°C
16%
35°C或以上
<1%
31°C 42%
30°C 23%
33°C 21%
32°C 20%
最新
最新
2026-09-18
25°C或以下
$11 交易量
<1%
26°C
$0 交易量
4%
27°C
$0 交易量
15%
28°C
$0 交易量
8%
29°C
$0 交易量
14%
30°C
$5 交易量
23%
31°C
$3 交易量
42%
32°C
$6 交易量
26%
33°C
$0 交易量
21%
34°C
$0 交易量
16%
35°C或以上
$0 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Northeast monsoon flow continues to moderate daytime heating across northern Taiwan, anchoring the market's leading 31°C outcome as forecasters from the Central Weather Administration project highs near 30–32°C for Taipei on September 18 amid partly cloudy skies and isolated showers. Recent model runs show consistent steering patterns with easterly winds limiting solar insolation and promoting modest cloud cover, which caps peak readings below the seasonal average of 32°C. Traders weigh the 31–33°C cluster (87% combined) against lower probabilities for 30°C or below, reflecting residual uncertainty in exact cloud timing and any late-day clearing that could allow a brief spike. Updated CWA guidance and ensemble consensus expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$25结束日期
2026-09-18市场开放时间
Sep 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Northeast monsoon flow continues to moderate daytime heating across northern Taiwan, anchoring the market's leading 31°C outcome as forecasters from the Central Weather Administration project highs near 30–32°C for Taipei on September 18 amid partly cloudy skies and isolated showers. Recent model runs show consistent steering patterns with easterly winds limiting solar insolation and promoting modest cloud cover, which caps peak readings below the seasonal average of 32°C. Traders weigh the 31–33°C cluster (87% combined) against lower probabilities for 30°C or below, reflecting residual uncertainty in exact cloud timing and any late-day clearing that could allow a brief spike. Updated CWA guidance and ensemble consensus expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$25结束日期
2026-09-18市场开放时间
Sep 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETNortheast monsoon flow continues to moderate daytime heating across northern Taiwan, anchoring the market's leading 31°C outcome as forecasters from the Central Weather Administration project highs near 30–32°C for Taipei on September 18 amid partly cloudy skies and isolated showers. Recent model runs show consistent steering patterns with easterly winds limiting solar insolation and promoting modest cloud cover, which caps peak readings below the seasonal average of 32°C. Traders weigh the 31–33°C cluster (87% combined) against lower probabilities for 30°C or below, reflecting residual uncertainty in exact cloud timing and any late-day clearing that could allow a brief spike. Updated CWA guidance and ensemble consensus expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine these implied probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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