Recent forecast runs from the GFS and ECMWF models show Amsterdam under a moderate westerly flow of maritime air from the North Sea on September 18, supporting a daily maximum near 18–19°C with partly cloudy skies and light to moderate southwest winds. This pattern aligns with late-September climatology for the region, where average highs hover around 19°C and strong high-pressure ridging or cold-air advection remain absent. Trader consensus favoring 19°C at 67% implied probability reflects model agreement on these conditions two days out, while lower probabilities for 20°C or above stem from limited warming potential and the risk of increased cloud cover or showers trimming the peak. Updated model guidance and official KNMI briefings over the next 24 hours will refine timing and any minor adjustments to the maximum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月18日阿姆斯特丹气温最高？
9月18日阿姆斯特丹气温最高？
19°C 66%
18°C 19%
20°C 12%
17°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-09-18
13°C或以下
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
3%
16°C
7%
17°C
8%
18°C
24%
19°C
66%
20°C
12%
21°C
2%
22°C
2%
23°C或更高
1%
19°C 66%
18°C 19%
20°C 12%
17°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-09-18
13°C或以下
$0 交易量
<1%
14°C
$0 交易量
1%
15°C
$0 交易量
3%
16°C
$0 交易量
7%
17°C
$5 交易量
8%
18°C
$11 交易量
24%
19°C
$286 交易量
66%
20°C
$6 交易量
12%
21°C
$23 交易量
2%
22°C
$0 交易量
2%
23°C或更高
$0 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast runs from the GFS and ECMWF models show Amsterdam under a moderate westerly flow of maritime air from the North Sea on September 18, supporting a daily maximum near 18–19°C with partly cloudy skies and light to moderate southwest winds. This pattern aligns with late-September climatology for the region, where average highs hover around 19°C and strong high-pressure ridging or cold-air advection remain absent. Trader consensus favoring 19°C at 67% implied probability reflects model agreement on these conditions two days out, while lower probabilities for 20°C or above stem from limited warming potential and the risk of increased cloud cover or showers trimming the peak. Updated model guidance and official KNMI briefings over the next 24 hours will refine timing and any minor adjustments to the maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$330结束日期
2026-09-18市场开放时间
Sep 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast runs from the GFS and ECMWF models show Amsterdam under a moderate westerly flow of maritime air from the North Sea on September 18, supporting a daily maximum near 18–19°C with partly cloudy skies and light to moderate southwest winds. This pattern aligns with late-September climatology for the region, where average highs hover around 19°C and strong high-pressure ridging or cold-air advection remain absent. Trader consensus favoring 19°C at 67% implied probability reflects model agreement on these conditions two days out, while lower probabilities for 20°C or above stem from limited warming potential and the risk of increased cloud cover or showers trimming the peak. Updated model guidance and official KNMI briefings over the next 24 hours will refine timing and any minor adjustments to the maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$330结束日期
2026-09-18市场开放时间
Sep 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ETRecent forecast runs from the GFS and ECMWF models show Amsterdam under a moderate westerly flow of maritime air from the North Sea on September 18, supporting a daily maximum near 18–19°C with partly cloudy skies and light to moderate southwest winds. This pattern aligns with late-September climatology for the region, where average highs hover around 19°C and strong high-pressure ridging or cold-air advection remain absent. Trader consensus favoring 19°C at 67% implied probability reflects model agreement on these conditions two days out, while lower probabilities for 20°C or above stem from limited warming potential and the risk of increased cloud cover or showers trimming the peak. Updated model guidance and official KNMI briefings over the next 24 hours will refine timing and any minor adjustments to the maximum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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