**Official National Weather Service observations from Austin-Bergstrom International Airport recorded a daily maximum of 97°F on September 18, 2026, establishing the market-implied outcome with near-certainty.** Persistent unseasonable warmth across central Texas, driven by a strong subtropical ridge and above-normal 500-hPa heights, produced afternoon temperatures several degrees above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 90.5°F. Multiple forecast models and real-time mesonet data converged on a peak in the mid- to upper 90s under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light southeast winds, preventing both stronger mixing that could have elevated readings and any convective cooling. While station-to-station variations (such as between Bergstrom and Camp Mabry) or minor sensor calibration differences could theoretically shift the exact bin, the official record and supporting surface observations leave little realistic room for outcomes outside 96–97°F.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月18日奥斯汀的最高温度？
9月18日奥斯汀的最高温度？
96-97°F 100.0%
87°F或以下 <1%
88-89°F <1%
90-91华氏度 <1%
$34,570 交易量
$34,570 交易量
2026-09-18
87°F或以下
否
88-89°F
否
90-91华氏度
否
92-93°F
否
94-95°F
否
96-97°F
是
98-99°F
否
100-101°F
否
102-103°F
否
104-105华氏度
否
106华氏度或更高
否
96-97°F 100.0%
87°F或以下 <1%
88-89°F <1%
90-91华氏度 <1%
$34,570 交易量
$34,570 交易量
2026-09-18
87°F或以下
$2,775 交易量
否
88-89°F
$2,515 交易量
否
90-91华氏度
$737 交易量
否
92-93°F
$5,272 交易量
否
94-95°F
$5,429 交易量
否
96-97°F
$7,793 交易量
是
98-99°F
$6,420 交易量
否
100-101°F
$2,281 交易量
否
102-103°F
$576 交易量
否
104-105华氏度
$311 交易量
否
106华氏度或更高
$461 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official National Weather Service observations from Austin-Bergstrom International Airport recorded a daily maximum of 97°F on September 18, 2026, establishing the market-implied outcome with near-certainty.** Persistent unseasonable warmth across central Texas, driven by a strong subtropical ridge and above-normal 500-hPa heights, produced afternoon temperatures several degrees above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 90.5°F. Multiple forecast models and real-time mesonet data converged on a peak in the mid- to upper 90s under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light southeast winds, preventing both stronger mixing that could have elevated readings and any convective cooling. While station-to-station variations (such as between Bergstrom and Camp Mabry) or minor sensor calibration differences could theoretically shift the exact bin, the official record and supporting surface observations leave little realistic room for outcomes outside 96–97°F.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 16, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
交易量
$34,570结束日期
2026-09-18市场开放时间
Sep 16, 2026, 2:56 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official National Weather Service observations from Austin-Bergstrom International Airport recorded a daily maximum of 97°F on September 18, 2026, establishing the market-implied outcome with near-certainty.** Persistent unseasonable warmth across central Texas, driven by a strong subtropical ridge and above-normal 500-hPa heights, produced afternoon temperatures several degrees above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 90.5°F. Multiple forecast models and real-time mesonet data converged on a peak in the mid- to upper 90s under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light southeast winds, preventing both stronger mixing that could have elevated readings and any convective cooling. While station-to-station variations (such as between Bergstrom and Camp Mabry) or minor sensor calibration differences could theoretically shift the exact bin, the official record and supporting surface observations leave little realistic room for outcomes outside 96–97°F.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$34,570结束日期
2026-09-18市场开放时间
Sep 16, 2026, 2:56 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
**Official National Weather Service observations from Austin-Bergstrom International Airport recorded a daily maximum of 97°F on September 18, 2026, establishing the market-implied outcome with near-certainty.** Persistent unseasonable warmth across central Texas, driven by a strong subtropical ridge and above-normal 500-hPa heights, produced afternoon temperatures several degrees above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 90.5°F. Multiple forecast models and real-time mesonet data converged on a peak in the mid- to upper 90s under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light southeast winds, preventing both stronger mixing that could have elevated readings and any convective cooling. While station-to-station variations (such as between Bergstrom and Camp Mabry) or minor sensor calibration differences could theoretically shift the exact bin, the official record and supporting surface observations leave little realistic room for outcomes outside 96–97°F.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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