Latest forecast models indicate a mild spring day in Buenos Aires on September 19, with highs likely reaching the mid-20s Celsius under partly cloudy skies and light easterly to northeasterly winds. Consensus across sources shows surface highs near 21–24°C, driven by stable high pressure, minimal cloud cover limiting overnight cooling, and diurnal heating without significant frontal passages or moisture advection. Model spread in maximum temperature—typically 1–3°C—explains the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 24–26°C, as small shifts in timing or boundary-layer mixing could alter the daily peak by a degree or two. Historical September averages near 18–20°C provide context, but current conditions favor a modest positive anomaly. Updated runs from agencies like the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional will refine the exact maximum ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月19日布宜诺斯艾利斯的最高温度?
24°C 31%
25°C 27%
26°C 22%
23°C 15%
18°C或以下
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
3%
22°C
5%
23°C
15%
24°C
31%
25°C
27%
26°C
22%
27°C
15%
28°C或更高
9%
24°C 31%
25°C 27%
26°C 22%
23°C 15%
18°C或以下
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
3%
22°C
5%
23°C
15%
24°C
31%
25°C
27%
26°C
22%
27°C
15%
28°C或更高
9%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 17, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Latest forecast models indicate a mild spring day in Buenos Aires on September 19, with highs likely reaching the mid-20s Celsius under partly cloudy skies and light easterly to northeasterly winds. Consensus across sources shows surface highs near 21–24°C, driven by stable high pressure, minimal cloud cover limiting overnight cooling, and diurnal heating without significant frontal passages or moisture advection. Model spread in maximum temperature—typically 1–3°C—explains the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 24–26°C, as small shifts in timing or boundary-layer mixing could alter the daily peak by a degree or two. Historical September averages near 18–20°C provide context, but current conditions favor a modest positive anomaly. Updated runs from agencies like the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional will refine the exact maximum ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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