**Forecast consensus for Shanghai on September 18 centers on a daily maximum near 29°C, driving the market's leading implied probabilities of 44.5% for 29°C and 34.5% for 28°C.** Multiple operational forecasts from sources including the China Meteorological Administration-aligned models, Met Office, and international providers such as WeatherBug and Globalmeteo converge on highs of 29–30°C (84–86°F) under mostly cloudy skies with light northerly to northeasterly winds and low-to-moderate humidity. These conditions limit strong daytime heating while preventing significant cooling from widespread rain. Subtropical Shanghai in mid-September typically experiences highs in the upper 20s to low 30s as the East Asian monsoon weakens and continental air begins to influence the region. Current model runs show modest cloud cover and isolated light precipitation potential (20–40% chance), which caps peaks near or just below 30°C. No active typhoon or strong frontal system is forecast to alter steering patterns or bring anomalous warmth or cooling in the next 24–48 hours. The modest probability for 30°C (16.5%) reflects residual uncertainty if afternoon clearing occurs, while lower outcomes remain unlikely without an unexpected surge of cooler air. Updated model guidance and observational data from the China Meteorological Administration over the coming hours will be the key near-term catalysts for any shifts in trader positioning.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月18日上海气温最高？
9月18日上海气温最高？
29℃ 45%
28°C 34%
30°C 17%
27°C 5%
最新
$13,498 交易量
最新
$13,498 交易量
2026-09-18
24°C或以下
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
2%
27°C
5%
28°C
34%
29℃
45%
30°C
17%
31°C
3%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C或更高
<1%
29℃ 45%
28°C 34%
30°C 17%
27°C 5%
最新
$13,498 交易量
最新
$13,498 交易量
2026-09-18
24°C或以下
$167 交易量
<1%
25°C
$988 交易量
<1%
26°C
$489 交易量
2%
27°C
$1,563 交易量
5%
28°C
$4,226 交易量
34%
29℃
$2,711 交易量
45%
30°C
$1,194 交易量
17%
31°C
$868 交易量
3%
32°C
$770 交易量
<1%
33°C
$389 交易量
<1%
34°C或更高
$133 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus for Shanghai on September 18 centers on a daily maximum near 29°C, driving the market's leading implied probabilities of 44.5% for 29°C and 34.5% for 28°C.** Multiple operational forecasts from sources including the China Meteorological Administration-aligned models, Met Office, and international providers such as WeatherBug and Globalmeteo converge on highs of 29–30°C (84–86°F) under mostly cloudy skies with light northerly to northeasterly winds and low-to-moderate humidity. These conditions limit strong daytime heating while preventing significant cooling from widespread rain.
Subtropical Shanghai in mid-September typically experiences highs in the upper 20s to low 30s as the East Asian monsoon weakens and continental air begins to influence the region. Current model runs show modest cloud cover and isolated light precipitation potential (20–40% chance), which caps peaks near or just below 30°C. No active typhoon or strong frontal system is forecast to alter steering patterns or bring anomalous warmth or cooling in the next 24–48 hours.
The modest probability for 30°C (16.5%) reflects residual uncertainty if afternoon clearing occurs, while lower outcomes remain unlikely without an unexpected surge of cooler air. Updated model guidance and observational data from the China Meteorological Administration over the coming hours will be the key near-term catalysts for any shifts in trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$13,498结束日期
2026-09-18市场开放时间
Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus for Shanghai on September 18 centers on a daily maximum near 29°C, driving the market's leading implied probabilities of 44.5% for 29°C and 34.5% for 28°C.** Multiple operational forecasts from sources including the China Meteorological Administration-aligned models, Met Office, and international providers such as WeatherBug and Globalmeteo converge on highs of 29–30°C (84–86°F) under mostly cloudy skies with light northerly to northeasterly winds and low-to-moderate humidity. These conditions limit strong daytime heating while preventing significant cooling from widespread rain.
Subtropical Shanghai in mid-September typically experiences highs in the upper 20s to low 30s as the East Asian monsoon weakens and continental air begins to influence the region. Current model runs show modest cloud cover and isolated light precipitation potential (20–40% chance), which caps peaks near or just below 30°C. No active typhoon or strong frontal system is forecast to alter steering patterns or bring anomalous warmth or cooling in the next 24–48 hours.
The modest probability for 30°C (16.5%) reflects residual uncertainty if afternoon clearing occurs, while lower outcomes remain unlikely without an unexpected surge of cooler air. Updated model guidance and observational data from the China Meteorological Administration over the coming hours will be the key near-term catalysts for any shifts in trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$13,498结束日期
2026-09-18市场开放时间
Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET**Forecast consensus for Shanghai on September 18 centers on a daily maximum near 29°C, driving the market's leading implied probabilities of 44.5% for 29°C and 34.5% for 28°C.** Multiple operational forecasts from sources including the China Meteorological Administration-aligned models, Met Office, and international providers such as WeatherBug and Globalmeteo converge on highs of 29–30°C (84–86°F) under mostly cloudy skies with light northerly to northeasterly winds and low-to-moderate humidity. These conditions limit strong daytime heating while preventing significant cooling from widespread rain. Subtropical Shanghai in mid-September typically experiences highs in the upper 20s to low 30s as the East Asian monsoon weakens and continental air begins to influence the region. Current model runs show modest cloud cover and isolated light precipitation potential (20–40% chance), which caps peaks near or just below 30°C. No active typhoon or strong frontal system is forecast to alter steering patterns or bring anomalous warmth or cooling in the next 24–48 hours. The modest probability for 30°C (16.5%) reflects residual uncertainty if afternoon clearing occurs, while lower outcomes remain unlikely without an unexpected surge of cooler air. Updated model guidance and observational data from the China Meteorological Administration over the coming hours will be the key near-term catalysts for any shifts in trader positioning.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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