Recent forecast updates from multiple models indicate a high likelihood of highs in the low-to-mid 20s Celsius for Mexico City on September 18, driven by persistent high cloud cover, elevated humidity, and scattered drizzle that limit daytime heating at the city's 2,240-meter elevation. Typical September conditions feature an average high near 24°C, but current steering patterns and light northerly winds are expected to moderate peaks, with model consensus pointing to 22–25°C depending on exact timing of any clearing or rainfall. This genuine uncertainty around the 23–25°C threshold explains the closely matched market-implied odds, as small shifts in precipitation or insolation could tip the daily maximum. Updated model runs and official observations will provide the next key data points ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月18日墨西哥城气温最高？
9月18日墨西哥城气温最高？
24°C 37%
25°C或更高 35%
23°C 22%
22°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-09-18
15°C或以下
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
10%
23°C
22%
24°C
37%
25°C或更高
35%
24°C 37%
25°C或更高 35%
23°C 22%
22°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-09-18
15°C或以下
$31 交易量
<1%
16°C
$31 交易量
<1%
17°C
$31 交易量
<1%
18°C
$31 交易量
<1%
19°C
$31 交易量
<1%
20°C
$53 交易量
<1%
21°C
$388 交易量
1%
22°C
$403 交易量
10%
23°C
$499 交易量
22%
24°C
$599 交易量
37%
25°C或更高
$968 交易量
35%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast updates from multiple models indicate a high likelihood of highs in the low-to-mid 20s Celsius for Mexico City on September 18, driven by persistent high cloud cover, elevated humidity, and scattered drizzle that limit daytime heating at the city's 2,240-meter elevation. Typical September conditions feature an average high near 24°C, but current steering patterns and light northerly winds are expected to moderate peaks, with model consensus pointing to 22–25°C depending on exact timing of any clearing or rainfall. This genuine uncertainty around the 23–25°C threshold explains the closely matched market-implied odds, as small shifts in precipitation or insolation could tip the daily maximum. Updated model runs and official observations will provide the next key data points ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 16, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
交易量
$3,034结束日期
2026-09-18市场开放时间
Sep 16, 2026, 8:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast updates from multiple models indicate a high likelihood of highs in the low-to-mid 20s Celsius for Mexico City on September 18, driven by persistent high cloud cover, elevated humidity, and scattered drizzle that limit daytime heating at the city's 2,240-meter elevation. Typical September conditions feature an average high near 24°C, but current steering patterns and light northerly winds are expected to moderate peaks, with model consensus pointing to 22–25°C depending on exact timing of any clearing or rainfall. This genuine uncertainty around the 23–25°C threshold explains the closely matched market-implied odds, as small shifts in precipitation or insolation could tip the daily maximum. Updated model runs and official observations will provide the next key data points ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,034结束日期
2026-09-18市场开放时间
Sep 16, 2026, 8:56 AM ETRecent forecast updates from multiple models indicate a high likelihood of highs in the low-to-mid 20s Celsius for Mexico City on September 18, driven by persistent high cloud cover, elevated humidity, and scattered drizzle that limit daytime heating at the city's 2,240-meter elevation. Typical September conditions feature an average high near 24°C, but current steering patterns and light northerly winds are expected to moderate peaks, with model consensus pointing to 22–25°C depending on exact timing of any clearing or rainfall. This genuine uncertainty around the 23–25°C threshold explains the closely matched market-implied odds, as small shifts in precipitation or insolation could tip the daily maximum. Updated model runs and official observations will provide the next key data points ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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