**Official forecasts from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) and aligned international models project a daily maximum of 25–27°C for Mexico City on September 16, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with only isolated light showers possible.** This consensus, reinforced by real-time observations showing afternoon readings climbing toward the mid-20s Celsius at the elevated valley site, underpins the market’s overwhelming 97.5% implied probability for exactly 26°C. September climatology supports the outlook: average highs hover near 23–24°C, with occasional peaks into the upper 20s when cloud cover remains broken and winds stay moderate. Stronger-than-expected afternoon convection or persistent low stratus could cap the high a degree or two lower, but current model agreement and limited moisture make such cooling unlikely before the day’s official maximum is recorded.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月16日墨西哥城气温最高？
9月16日墨西哥城气温最高？
26°C 99.7%
17°C或以下 <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$29,105 交易量
$29,105 交易量
2026-09-16
17°C或以下
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
100%
27°C或更高
<1%
26°C 99.7%
17°C或以下 <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$29,105 交易量
$29,105 交易量
2026-09-16
17°C或以下
$538 交易量
<1%
18°C
$363 交易量
<1%
19°C
$363 交易量
<1%
20°C
$363 交易量
<1%
21°C
$245 交易量
<1%
22°C
$303 交易量
<1%
23°C
$518 交易量
<1%
24°C
$3,554 交易量
<1%
25°C
$9,094 交易量
<1%
26°C
$10,258 交易量
100%
27°C或更高
$3,828 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official forecasts from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) and aligned international models project a daily maximum of 25–27°C for Mexico City on September 16, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with only isolated light showers possible.** This consensus, reinforced by real-time observations showing afternoon readings climbing toward the mid-20s Celsius at the elevated valley site, underpins the market’s overwhelming 97.5% implied probability for exactly 26°C. September climatology supports the outlook: average highs hover near 23–24°C, with occasional peaks into the upper 20s when cloud cover remains broken and winds stay moderate. Stronger-than-expected afternoon convection or persistent low stratus could cap the high a degree or two lower, but current model agreement and limited moisture make such cooling unlikely before the day’s official maximum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 14, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
交易量
$29,105结束日期
2026-09-16市场开放时间
Sep 14, 2026, 8:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official forecasts from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) and aligned international models project a daily maximum of 25–27°C for Mexico City on September 16, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with only isolated light showers possible.** This consensus, reinforced by real-time observations showing afternoon readings climbing toward the mid-20s Celsius at the elevated valley site, underpins the market’s overwhelming 97.5% implied probability for exactly 26°C. September climatology supports the outlook: average highs hover near 23–24°C, with occasional peaks into the upper 20s when cloud cover remains broken and winds stay moderate. Stronger-than-expected afternoon convection or persistent low stratus could cap the high a degree or two lower, but current model agreement and limited moisture make such cooling unlikely before the day’s official maximum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$29,105结束日期
2026-09-16市场开放时间
Sep 14, 2026, 8:56 AM ET**Official forecasts from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) and aligned international models project a daily maximum of 25–27°C for Mexico City on September 16, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with only isolated light showers possible.** This consensus, reinforced by real-time observations showing afternoon readings climbing toward the mid-20s Celsius at the elevated valley site, underpins the market’s overwhelming 97.5% implied probability for exactly 26°C. September climatology supports the outlook: average highs hover near 23–24°C, with occasional peaks into the upper 20s when cloud cover remains broken and winds stay moderate. Stronger-than-expected afternoon convection or persistent low stratus could cap the high a degree or two lower, but current model agreement and limited moisture make such cooling unlikely before the day’s official maximum is recorded.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题