Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Austin project a high near 100°F on September 16 under partly cloudy skies and light southeast winds of 5-10 mph, following a period of extreme heat with heat indices above 105°F. Model consensus from sources like WeatherBug and local guidance shows a narrower range of 97-100°F, with increased afternoon cloud cover potentially capping the peak below prior days' readings. This tight spread between 98-99°F and 100-101°F reflects genuine uncertainty in maximum temperature driven by variable insolation, boundary-layer moisture, and steering flow patterns rather than a single dominant signal. Traders are watching the next NWS update and local mesonet observations for shifts that could resolve the outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月16日奥斯汀的最高温度？
9月16日奥斯汀的最高温度？
98-99°F 48%
100-101°F 43%
96-97°F 8%
102-103°F 5%
最新
最新
2026-09-16
89°F或以下
1%
90-91°F
1%
92-93华氏度
1%
94-95°F
3%
96-97°F
8%
98-99°F
48%
100-101°F
43%
102-103°F
5%
104-105°F
1%
106-107°F
1%
108°F或更高
<1%
98-99°F 48%
100-101°F 43%
96-97°F 8%
102-103°F 5%
最新
最新
2026-09-16
89°F或以下
$117 交易量
1%
90-91°F
$0 交易量
1%
92-93华氏度
$0 交易量
1%
94-95°F
$0 交易量
3%
96-97°F
$19 交易量
8%
98-99°F
$308 交易量
48%
100-101°F
$1,413 交易量
43%
102-103°F
$269 交易量
5%
104-105°F
$55 交易量
1%
106-107°F
$254 交易量
1%
108°F或更高
$214 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Austin project a high near 100°F on September 16 under partly cloudy skies and light southeast winds of 5-10 mph, following a period of extreme heat with heat indices above 105°F. Model consensus from sources like WeatherBug and local guidance shows a narrower range of 97-100°F, with increased afternoon cloud cover potentially capping the peak below prior days' readings. This tight spread between 98-99°F and 100-101°F reflects genuine uncertainty in maximum temperature driven by variable insolation, boundary-layer moisture, and steering flow patterns rather than a single dominant signal. Traders are watching the next NWS update and local mesonet observations for shifts that could resolve the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 14, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
交易量
$2,650结束日期
2026-09-16市场开放时间
Sep 14, 2026, 2:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Austin project a high near 100°F on September 16 under partly cloudy skies and light southeast winds of 5-10 mph, following a period of extreme heat with heat indices above 105°F. Model consensus from sources like WeatherBug and local guidance shows a narrower range of 97-100°F, with increased afternoon cloud cover potentially capping the peak below prior days' readings. This tight spread between 98-99°F and 100-101°F reflects genuine uncertainty in maximum temperature driven by variable insolation, boundary-layer moisture, and steering flow patterns rather than a single dominant signal. Traders are watching the next NWS update and local mesonet observations for shifts that could resolve the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,650结束日期
2026-09-16市场开放时间
Sep 14, 2026, 2:56 AM ETRecent National Weather Service forecasts for Austin project a high near 100°F on September 16 under partly cloudy skies and light southeast winds of 5-10 mph, following a period of extreme heat with heat indices above 105°F. Model consensus from sources like WeatherBug and local guidance shows a narrower range of 97-100°F, with increased afternoon cloud cover potentially capping the peak below prior days' readings. This tight spread between 98-99°F and 100-101°F reflects genuine uncertainty in maximum temperature driven by variable insolation, boundary-layer moisture, and steering flow patterns rather than a single dominant signal. Traders are watching the next NWS update and local mesonet observations for shifts that could resolve the outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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