Trader sentiment centers on short-range forecast models from agencies like the Hong Kong Observatory projecting a daytime high near 31–32°C for September 14, with 31°C holding a slight edge due to expected cloud cover and southeasterly flow moderating peak heating. Recent sea surface temperatures in the northern South China Sea remain above seasonal norms, supporting elevated humidity and instability, while the absence of strong typhoon steering patterns allows for typical late-summer conditions. Model consensus shows limited spread, with urban heat island effects in Kowloon and Hong Kong Island potentially adding 1°C locally, though increased moisture could cap temperatures below 33°C. Resolution depends on the official daily maximum recorded at the King’s Park station, with traders closely watching any last-minute adjustments to the forecast as the event nears.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月14日香港气温最高？
9月14日香港气温最高？
31°C 41%
32°C 33%
30°C 16%
33°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-09-14
26°C或以下
<1%
27℃
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
5%
30°C
16%
31°C
41%
32°C
33%
33°C
10%
34℃
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C或以上
<1%
31°C 41%
32°C 33%
30°C 16%
33°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-09-14
26°C或以下
$323 交易量
<1%
27℃
$203 交易量
<1%
28°C
$1,002 交易量
<1%
29°C
$899 交易量
5%
30°C
$1,880 交易量
16%
31°C
$490 交易量
41%
32°C
$1,966 交易量
33%
33°C
$360 交易量
10%
34℃
$615 交易量
1%
35°C
$200 交易量
<1%
36°C或以上
$282 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader sentiment centers on short-range forecast models from agencies like the Hong Kong Observatory projecting a daytime high near 31–32°C for September 14, with 31°C holding a slight edge due to expected cloud cover and southeasterly flow moderating peak heating. Recent sea surface temperatures in the northern South China Sea remain above seasonal norms, supporting elevated humidity and instability, while the absence of strong typhoon steering patterns allows for typical late-summer conditions. Model consensus shows limited spread, with urban heat island effects in Kowloon and Hong Kong Island potentially adding 1°C locally, though increased moisture could cap temperatures below 33°C. Resolution depends on the official daily maximum recorded at the King’s Park station, with traders closely watching any last-minute adjustments to the forecast as the event nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$8,219结束日期
2026-09-14市场开放时间
Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader sentiment centers on short-range forecast models from agencies like the Hong Kong Observatory projecting a daytime high near 31–32°C for September 14, with 31°C holding a slight edge due to expected cloud cover and southeasterly flow moderating peak heating. Recent sea surface temperatures in the northern South China Sea remain above seasonal norms, supporting elevated humidity and instability, while the absence of strong typhoon steering patterns allows for typical late-summer conditions. Model consensus shows limited spread, with urban heat island effects in Kowloon and Hong Kong Island potentially adding 1°C locally, though increased moisture could cap temperatures below 33°C. Resolution depends on the official daily maximum recorded at the King’s Park station, with traders closely watching any last-minute adjustments to the forecast as the event nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$8,219结束日期
2026-09-14市场开放时间
Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ETTrader sentiment centers on short-range forecast models from agencies like the Hong Kong Observatory projecting a daytime high near 31–32°C for September 14, with 31°C holding a slight edge due to expected cloud cover and southeasterly flow moderating peak heating. Recent sea surface temperatures in the northern South China Sea remain above seasonal norms, supporting elevated humidity and instability, while the absence of strong typhoon steering patterns allows for typical late-summer conditions. Model consensus shows limited spread, with urban heat island effects in Kowloon and Hong Kong Island potentially adding 1°C locally, though increased moisture could cap temperatures below 33°C. Resolution depends on the official daily maximum recorded at the King’s Park station, with traders closely watching any last-minute adjustments to the forecast as the event nears.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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