Trader consensus strongly favors a minimum temperature of 12°C or below in Jinan on September 14, reflecting model runs from regional forecasting centers that indicate advection of cooler continental air and enhanced radiational cooling under clear skies overnight. Current surface observations and ensemble guidance show dew points and wind patterns consistent with rapid temperature drops after sunset, aligning with historical analogs for early-autumn cold surges in the North China Plain. While forecast uncertainty remains due to potential model spread in boundary-layer mixing, the dominant positioning underscores high-confidence expectations ahead of final observational data release. Scenarios that could alter outcomes include unexpected cloud cover or delayed frontal passage, though these appear low-probability based on latest guidance.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月14日济南最低气温?
12°C或以下 99%
22°C或更高 87%
13°C 1.0%
14°C <1%
12°C或以下
99%
13°C
1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C或更高
87%
12°C或以下 99%
22°C或更高 87%
13°C 1.0%
14°C <1%
12°C或以下
99%
13°C
1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C或更高
87%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 13, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Trader consensus strongly favors a minimum temperature of 12°C or below in Jinan on September 14, reflecting model runs from regional forecasting centers that indicate advection of cooler continental air and enhanced radiational cooling under clear skies overnight. Current surface observations and ensemble guidance show dew points and wind patterns consistent with rapid temperature drops after sunset, aligning with historical analogs for early-autumn cold surges in the North China Plain. While forecast uncertainty remains due to potential model spread in boundary-layer mixing, the dominant positioning underscores high-confidence expectations ahead of final observational data release. Scenarios that could alter outcomes include unexpected cloud cover or delayed frontal passage, though these appear low-probability based on latest guidance.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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