Forecast models from sources like NOAA and private ensembles show NYC highs for September 13 clustering near 80°F amid widespread rain and thunderstorms, with peak readings likely during brief afternoon breaks in cloud cover. High humidity and onshore flow from the south keep surface temperatures moderated despite seasonal warmth, while model spread on storm timing and clearing creates the tight split between 78-79°F and 80-81°F bins. Recent runs highlight modest warming potential if precipitation ends earlier than expected, but persistent overcast and evaporative cooling from heavy rain support the market's balanced odds near the seasonal 77.5°F average. Updated guidance and radar trends ahead of landfall will likely refine these probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月13日纽约市的最高温度？
9月13日纽约市的最高温度？
78-79°F 35%
80-81华氏度 34%
82-83°F 13%
76-77华氏度 12%
最新
最新
2026-09-13
73°F或以下
1%
74-75°F
2%
76-77华氏度
12%
78-79°F
35%
80-81华氏度
34%
82-83°F
13%
84-85华氏度
4%
86-87°F
2%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92华氏度或更高
1%
78-79°F 35%
80-81华氏度 34%
82-83°F 13%
76-77华氏度 12%
最新
最新
2026-09-13
73°F或以下
$61 交易量
1%
74-75°F
$785 交易量
2%
76-77华氏度
$1,089 交易量
12%
78-79°F
$980 交易量
35%
80-81华氏度
$612 交易量
34%
82-83°F
$798 交易量
13%
84-85华氏度
$688 交易量
4%
86-87°F
$71 交易量
2%
88-89°F
$222 交易量
<1%
90-91°F
$137 交易量
<1%
92华氏度或更高
$382 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources like NOAA and private ensembles show NYC highs for September 13 clustering near 80°F amid widespread rain and thunderstorms, with peak readings likely during brief afternoon breaks in cloud cover. High humidity and onshore flow from the south keep surface temperatures moderated despite seasonal warmth, while model spread on storm timing and clearing creates the tight split between 78-79°F and 80-81°F bins. Recent runs highlight modest warming potential if precipitation ends earlier than expected, but persistent overcast and evaporative cooling from heavy rain support the market's balanced odds near the seasonal 77.5°F average. Updated guidance and radar trends ahead of landfall will likely refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 11, 2026, 3:55 AM ET
交易量
$5,826结束日期
2026-09-13市场开放时间
Sep 11, 2026, 3:55 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources like NOAA and private ensembles show NYC highs for September 13 clustering near 80°F amid widespread rain and thunderstorms, with peak readings likely during brief afternoon breaks in cloud cover. High humidity and onshore flow from the south keep surface temperatures moderated despite seasonal warmth, while model spread on storm timing and clearing creates the tight split between 78-79°F and 80-81°F bins. Recent runs highlight modest warming potential if precipitation ends earlier than expected, but persistent overcast and evaporative cooling from heavy rain support the market's balanced odds near the seasonal 77.5°F average. Updated guidance and radar trends ahead of landfall will likely refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$5,826结束日期
2026-09-13市场开放时间
Sep 11, 2026, 3:55 AM ETForecast models from sources like NOAA and private ensembles show NYC highs for September 13 clustering near 80°F amid widespread rain and thunderstorms, with peak readings likely during brief afternoon breaks in cloud cover. High humidity and onshore flow from the south keep surface temperatures moderated despite seasonal warmth, while model spread on storm timing and clearing creates the tight split between 78-79°F and 80-81°F bins. Recent runs highlight modest warming potential if precipitation ends earlier than expected, but persistent overcast and evaporative cooling from heavy rain support the market's balanced odds near the seasonal 77.5°F average. Updated guidance and radar trends ahead of landfall will likely refine these probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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