**Forecast consensus points to a 30–33°C peak in Taipei on September 14, driven by typical early-autumn conditions of high humidity, easterly flow, and variable cloud cover.** Current observations show daily highs near 31–32°C amid partly cloudy skies and light easterly winds, consistent with September climatology where maximum temperatures average 30–31°C. Model runs differ mainly on afternoon shower timing and coverage—stronger or earlier rain would cap readings near 30–31°C by limiting insolation, while delayed or lighter precipitation could allow brief clearing and a push toward 33°C. Traders weigh these variables against stable steering patterns and lack of major tropical systems, creating tight probabilities between 32°C and 33°C. Newer model updates and Central Weather Administration guidance on cloud trends will likely refine the range before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月14日台北气温最高?
33°C 31%
32°C 30%
31℃ 21%
29°C 14%
27°C或以下
3%
28°C
4%
29°C
14%
30°C
14%
31℃
21%
32°C
30%
33°C
31%
34°C
14%
35°C
4%
36°C
6%
37°C或更高
3%
33°C 31%
32°C 30%
31℃ 21%
29°C 14%
27°C或以下
3%
28°C
4%
29°C
14%
30°C
14%
31℃
21%
32°C
30%
33°C
31%
34°C
14%
35°C
4%
36°C
6%
37°C或更高
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 12, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Forecast consensus points to a 30–33°C peak in Taipei on September 14, driven by typical early-autumn conditions of high humidity, easterly flow, and variable cloud cover.** Current observations show daily highs near 31–32°C amid partly cloudy skies and light easterly winds, consistent with September climatology where maximum temperatures average 30–31°C. Model runs differ mainly on afternoon shower timing and coverage—stronger or earlier rain would cap readings near 30–31°C by limiting insolation, while delayed or lighter precipitation could allow brief clearing and a push toward 33°C. Traders weigh these variables against stable steering patterns and lack of major tropical systems, creating tight probabilities between 32°C and 33°C. Newer model updates and Central Weather Administration guidance on cloud trends will likely refine the range before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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