Real-time meteorological observations and forecast model consensus from agencies monitoring East Asian weather patterns have locked in a daily maximum of 31°C for Wuhan on September 12, driving the near-100% market-implied probability on that exact outcome. Surface station readings, satellite-derived temperatures, and numerical weather prediction runs show stable high pressure with light winds and minimal cloud cover allowing daytime heating to this precise threshold, consistent with late-summer climatology for the region. Minor variations in station siting or final official rounding could theoretically shift the recorded high, though current data streams indicate negligible risk of deviation outside the 31°C bin.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月12日武汉气温最高？
9月12日武汉气温最高？
31°C 100.0%
25°C及以下 <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$40,851 交易量
$40,851 交易量
2026-09-12
25°C及以下
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C
是
32°C
否
33°C
否
34°C
否
35°C或更高
否
31°C 100.0%
25°C及以下 <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$40,851 交易量
$40,851 交易量
2026-09-12
25°C及以下
$1,245 交易量
否
26°C
$744 交易量
否
27°C
$835 交易量
否
28°C
$2,289 交易量
否
29°C
$5,755 交易量
否
30°C
$10,202 交易量
否
31°C
$8,018 交易量
是
32°C
$5,289 交易量
否
33°C
$3,067 交易量
否
34°C
$1,145 交易量
否
35°C或更高
$2,260 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Real-time meteorological observations and forecast model consensus from agencies monitoring East Asian weather patterns have locked in a daily maximum of 31°C for Wuhan on September 12, driving the near-100% market-implied probability on that exact outcome. Surface station readings, satellite-derived temperatures, and numerical weather prediction runs show stable high pressure with light winds and minimal cloud cover allowing daytime heating to this precise threshold, consistent with late-summer climatology for the region. Minor variations in station siting or final official rounding could theoretically shift the recorded high, though current data streams indicate negligible risk of deviation outside the 31°C bin.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 10, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$40,851结束日期
2026-09-12市场开放时间
Sep 10, 2026, 12:57 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Real-time meteorological observations and forecast model consensus from agencies monitoring East Asian weather patterns have locked in a daily maximum of 31°C for Wuhan on September 12, driving the near-100% market-implied probability on that exact outcome. Surface station readings, satellite-derived temperatures, and numerical weather prediction runs show stable high pressure with light winds and minimal cloud cover allowing daytime heating to this precise threshold, consistent with late-summer climatology for the region. Minor variations in station siting or final official rounding could theoretically shift the recorded high, though current data streams indicate negligible risk of deviation outside the 31°C bin.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$40,851结束日期
2026-09-12市场开放时间
Sep 10, 2026, 12:57 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Real-time meteorological observations and forecast model consensus from agencies monitoring East Asian weather patterns have locked in a daily maximum of 31°C for Wuhan on September 12, driving the near-100% market-implied probability on that exact outcome. Surface station readings, satellite-derived temperatures, and numerical weather prediction runs show stable high pressure with light winds and minimal cloud cover allowing daytime heating to this precise threshold, consistent with late-summer climatology for the region. Minor variations in station siting or final official rounding could theoretically shift the recorded high, though current data streams indicate negligible risk of deviation outside the 31°C bin.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题