Latest numerical weather prediction models from multiple sources converge on a daytime high of 31–32°C in Wuhan on September 14, driven by partly cloudy skies, light northeast winds, and moderate humidity levels near 50%. This positions the 31°C and 32°C outcomes as market leaders, with the narrow spread reflecting minor divergences in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing across runs. Low precipitation probabilities and stable high pressure support limited afternoon cooling, while regional climatology shows September maxima typically peaking near 29–30°C. Traders are weighting the consensus of recent model guidance and official agency outlooks, which emphasize uncertainty from variable insolation under scattered clouds rather than major shifts in steering patterns.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月14日武汉气温最高?
32°C 34%
31°C 27%
33°C 16%
30°C 7%
27°C或以下
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
4%
30°C
7%
31°C
27%
32°C
34%
33°C
16%
34°C
6%
35°C
3%
36°C
1%
37°C或更高
1%
32°C 34%
31°C 27%
33°C 16%
30°C 7%
27°C或以下
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
4%
30°C
7%
31°C
27%
32°C
34%
33°C
16%
34°C
6%
35°C
3%
36°C
1%
37°C或更高
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 12, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Latest numerical weather prediction models from multiple sources converge on a daytime high of 31–32°C in Wuhan on September 14, driven by partly cloudy skies, light northeast winds, and moderate humidity levels near 50%. This positions the 31°C and 32°C outcomes as market leaders, with the narrow spread reflecting minor divergences in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing across runs. Low precipitation probabilities and stable high pressure support limited afternoon cooling, while regional climatology shows September maxima typically peaking near 29–30°C. Traders are weighting the consensus of recent model guidance and official agency outlooks, which emphasize uncertainty from variable insolation under scattered clouds rather than major shifts in steering patterns.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题