Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and ensemble models indicate a daytime high near 26°C under mostly cloudy skies with light easterly winds and isolated showers, keeping surface heating modest amid high humidity near 80%. This aligns with trader consensus favoring 25–26°C as the resolution range, reflecting minor model spread in boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover that could trim or boost peak readings by 1°C. Recent cooler, rainy conditions have suppressed temperatures below the late-September climatological normal of 27.5°C, while afternoon observations and updated runs will determine whether the high settles at the lower or upper end of that narrow band before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月13日东京气温最高？
9月13日东京气温最高？
25°C 37%
26°C 32%
24°C 16%
27°C 11%
最新
$33,289 交易量
最新
$33,289 交易量
2026-09-13
21°C或以下
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
3%
24°C
16%
25°C
37%
26°C
32%
27°C
11%
28°C
4%
29°C
2%
30°C
<1%
31°C或更高
<1%
25°C 37%
26°C 32%
24°C 16%
27°C 11%
最新
$33,289 交易量
最新
$33,289 交易量
2026-09-13
21°C或以下
$1,377 交易量
<1%
22°C
$3,142 交易量
<1%
23°C
$6,736 交易量
3%
24°C
$3,740 交易量
16%
25°C
$3,315 交易量
37%
26°C
$3,903 交易量
32%
27°C
$3,972 交易量
11%
28°C
$3,079 交易量
4%
29°C
$1,318 交易量
2%
30°C
$1,226 交易量
<1%
31°C或更高
$1,483 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and ensemble models indicate a daytime high near 26°C under mostly cloudy skies with light easterly winds and isolated showers, keeping surface heating modest amid high humidity near 80%. This aligns with trader consensus favoring 25–26°C as the resolution range, reflecting minor model spread in boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover that could trim or boost peak readings by 1°C. Recent cooler, rainy conditions have suppressed temperatures below the late-September climatological normal of 27.5°C, while afternoon observations and updated runs will determine whether the high settles at the lower or upper end of that narrow band before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$33,289结束日期
2026-09-13市场开放时间
Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and ensemble models indicate a daytime high near 26°C under mostly cloudy skies with light easterly winds and isolated showers, keeping surface heating modest amid high humidity near 80%. This aligns with trader consensus favoring 25–26°C as the resolution range, reflecting minor model spread in boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover that could trim or boost peak readings by 1°C. Recent cooler, rainy conditions have suppressed temperatures below the late-September climatological normal of 27.5°C, while afternoon observations and updated runs will determine whether the high settles at the lower or upper end of that narrow band before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$33,289结束日期
2026-09-13市场开放时间
Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and ensemble models indicate a daytime high near 26°C under mostly cloudy skies with light easterly winds and isolated showers, keeping surface heating modest amid high humidity near 80%. This aligns with trader consensus favoring 25–26°C as the resolution range, reflecting minor model spread in boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover that could trim or boost peak readings by 1°C. Recent cooler, rainy conditions have suppressed temperatures below the late-September climatological normal of 27.5°C, while afternoon observations and updated runs will determine whether the high settles at the lower or upper end of that narrow band before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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