Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance for San Francisco on September 14 points to a high in the low-to-mid 70s under onshore flow and a strengthening marine layer, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 72–75°F outcomes. Persistent northwest winds and typical September cooling after early-month heat have kept temperatures near the 70.8°F climatological average, with limited warming expected before peak afternoon readings. Minor model spread on cloud cover and exact wind timing creates modest uncertainty between the 72–73°F and 76–77°F bins, while probabilities for extremes remain low given the absence of offshore flow or ridging. Updated NWS and NOAA model runs overnight will provide the final data ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月14日旧金山气温最高？
9月14日旧金山气温最高？
74-75°F 43%
72-73华氏度 22%
76-77°F 22%
70-71°F 7%
最新
最新
2026-09-14
65°F或以下
<1%
66-67华氏度
2%
68-69°F
3%
70-71°F
7%
72-73华氏度
22%
74-75°F
43%
76-77°F
22%
78-79°F
5%
80-81°F
2%
82-83华氏度
2%
84华氏度或更高
1%
74-75°F 43%
72-73华氏度 22%
76-77°F 22%
70-71°F 7%
最新
最新
2026-09-14
65°F或以下
$143 交易量
<1%
66-67华氏度
$0 交易量
2%
68-69°F
$0 交易量
3%
70-71°F
$60 交易量
7%
72-73华氏度
$91 交易量
22%
74-75°F
$573 交易量
43%
76-77°F
$368 交易量
22%
78-79°F
$327 交易量
5%
80-81°F
$34 交易量
2%
82-83华氏度
$0 交易量
2%
84华氏度或更高
$0 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance for San Francisco on September 14 points to a high in the low-to-mid 70s under onshore flow and a strengthening marine layer, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 72–75°F outcomes. Persistent northwest winds and typical September cooling after early-month heat have kept temperatures near the 70.8°F climatological average, with limited warming expected before peak afternoon readings. Minor model spread on cloud cover and exact wind timing creates modest uncertainty between the 72–73°F and 76–77°F bins, while probabilities for extremes remain low given the absence of offshore flow or ridging. Updated NWS and NOAA model runs overnight will provide the final data ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 12, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
交易量
$1,596结束日期
2026-09-14市场开放时间
Sep 12, 2026, 7:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance for San Francisco on September 14 points to a high in the low-to-mid 70s under onshore flow and a strengthening marine layer, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 72–75°F outcomes. Persistent northwest winds and typical September cooling after early-month heat have kept temperatures near the 70.8°F climatological average, with limited warming expected before peak afternoon readings. Minor model spread on cloud cover and exact wind timing creates modest uncertainty between the 72–73°F and 76–77°F bins, while probabilities for extremes remain low given the absence of offshore flow or ridging. Updated NWS and NOAA model runs overnight will provide the final data ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,596结束日期
2026-09-14市场开放时间
Sep 12, 2026, 7:56 AM ETRecent National Weather Service and private model guidance for San Francisco on September 14 points to a high in the low-to-mid 70s under onshore flow and a strengthening marine layer, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 72–75°F outcomes. Persistent northwest winds and typical September cooling after early-month heat have kept temperatures near the 70.8°F climatological average, with limited warming expected before peak afternoon readings. Minor model spread on cloud cover and exact wind timing creates modest uncertainty between the 72–73°F and 76–77°F bins, while probabilities for extremes remain low given the absence of offshore flow or ridging. Updated NWS and NOAA model runs overnight will provide the final data ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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